Strategy on live bets on The International 2019

in palnet •  5 years ago 

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Today was the first day of closed qualifiers at The International 2019 and I spent the whole day watching live in the CIS region. Today there were a huge number of comebacks, caught a lot of 2.5+ odds. Stat per day 36 WIN 12 LOOSE, with an ROI of 286%. Great stat for the day.

Why I love the CIS region? Because the team has the same level and they are constantly throwing games.

What do we need:

  1. Match broadcast (DotaTV or any other Twitch broadcast)
  2. Bookmaker (in order to be able to make the most profitable bet, it often happened on PinnacleSports odds 3.2, and GGbet 2.7, and next time the opposite)
  3. Matches suitable for certain scenarios:

The first scenario of the games we are looking for: Team A loses the game (0-10 minutes), but has good late core-heroes (Morph, Spectre, AM, TB, WK, etc.) and after 10 minutes usually odds ~ 2.5-4.5. With proper selection of the game, the permeability is about 30-50% and this is more than enough at a distance to make it profitable.
The second scenario of the game: Team A loses early game and has a good mass of fighting potential (Enigma, Warlock, a bunch of Doom + Grimstroke, etc.). Here we are waiting for the peak odds (but in this case it is lower, 2-3.5) and load it.

IMPORTANT: We use several bookmakers, because very often the odds differ. I use GGbet and PinnacleSports.

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