On November 15th a sudden missile strike in Poland exploded, killing two people.
So who lost the missile has become the biggest puzzle puzzling NATO.
In any case, the missile must not be Russian, Poland is a NATO member, if Russia threw it, it would be a Russian attack on NATO, and according to NATO's mutual defense agreement, NATO partners should join hands and fight Russia.
No one wants to start a direct war with Russia, because that would risk an inendable war, so no matter how many Poles the missile kills, it cannot be the trigger for a major war. It must be dealt with coldly.
The missile was, by unanimous agreement of the G7 leaders, a minor misstep for Ukraine.
So who actually attacked Poland with missiles? In fact, it could have been Ukraine, and it wasn't an accident, it was more likely an intentional bombing by the Ukrainians.
The recent midterm elections in the United States gave Republicans a majority in the House of Representatives, meaning Congress is unlikely to pass legislation that would continue to provide substantial funding for Ukraine.
But there is a way around the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, and that is to drag the United States into a state of war, escalating the Russia-Ukraine conflict directly into a NATO-Russia war, so that the president, as wartime commander in chief, can bypass Congress and send money directly to Ukraine.
The Bidens are too deeply involved in Ukraine to get out of it easily, but as long as the American funding is not continued, there is no way for Ukraine to fight anymore. Modern war is a hot war, weapons, ammunition, logistics, everything is a bottomless pit of money. Ukraine is now crippled and spent, and there is no way to maintain a state of war on its own.
Even if it is to borrow foreign debt, the creditors are not stupid, always check their ability to repay the debt, you look at the current situation of Ukraine, can still borrow a lot of money?
The best thing for Ukraine to do is to drag the United States directly into the war so that it can continue. Otherwise, without the support, Ukraine will not have the strength to survive as an independent country.
Without the shield of the state, and without the halo of righteousness, the neighbouring countries, including Poland, could quickly turn around and try to eat Ukraine's original territory with evidence of Nazi influence in Ukraine.
It's hard for the Nazis in Ukraine to clean themselves up, the bad things they've done are there, so you know how powerful the US is. When it works, you are a force for good in Ukraine, when it doesn't, you are a vicious Nazi, everyone gets punished, and the discretion is completely controlled by the US.
In the past, the old United States also had a lot of terrorists, to be a terrorist, extremist, first of all, you have to be not afraid of death, thought a tendon, this kind of people, when you support him, of course, you can listen to you, but this obedient is conditional, once you want to because of their own interests, with him to cut, then wait to see, what is the suicide attack from terrorists.
I believe Zelensky has long since given up working between Russia and Ukraine. With so much money, if he can take off his burden, where can he not live a happy life?
But now, it's not the time for him to do whatever he wants. He's still needed by all parties, and he can be used as a shield, a front man, and once all parties behind the scenes think that the saint has been wrung out of value, then it's likely to be silenced in order to keep him from saying what he shouldn't say. You know, wasn't Zelensky in a weird car accident a while back?
In order to maintain the current situation, Zelensky had to continue to perform, to avoid the discontent of the backstage owners, early to get the lunch box.
The interests of the Biden family are not equal to those of the United States, and even the arms dealers are beginning to be reluctant to allow the war to continue. Quite simply, Ukraine cannot pay for it, and the United States is likely to get only a limited involvement in the conflict. If there is a full-scale war, the paper tiger may be stripped of its skin.
Compare the weapons in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and look at the weapons in Zhuhai Air Show. If you are a big dog, what will you choose?
When Saudi Arabia signed a $400 billion arms order to curry favor with Trump, you could squeeze Ukraine into the scum and still not be able to pay much.
But an embarrassing war between Russia and Ukraine can make the Middle East's big dogs see clearly the American military strength, advanced military power is gone, and there is still a big dog willing to spend a lot of money to buy peace?
Therefore, a consensus has long been formed in the United States that the Russia-Ukraine war can only be a local war, and the United States should never be involved in it.
Now Europe and the United States at the bottom of the box of old guns and ammunition are given to Ukraine, then is there going to be a wave of large-scale buying, which buyers here are more powerful than Ukraine, in the short term, the American arms dealers are not worried about business, only to worry about the production capacity, so even if the war has stopped, it may not bring too much loss to these warmongers.
As for the Bidens, well, at his age and with some Alzheimer's in sight, it wouldn't be too painful to throw him out the window.
When war breaks out, what's the tone? If you say this is the wishful thinking of the United States, it is too small to look down on Russia.
Now in Russia, does anyone feel affected by the war?
Or there may be news of military casualties, but the conflict is taking place beyond its borders, and even Russia's economy seems relatively unaffected by the fighting.
Take a look at the hairy bears we call the fighting nation. Since the war, a series of honey operations have been carried out. If you really plan to destroy the other country, at least you must first come to a comprehensive mobilization and prepare for war.
But for the first six months of the war, Mr Putin seemed so intent on presenting himself as a benevolent man that he failed to do any serious damage to Ukraine.
It is said that Ukrainians secretly read The Art of War in the trenches, no matter how well they learn, but the first sentence in the book is: soldiers, the country's affairs, the place of death and life, the way to survive, must not be ignored.
Russia does not take the threat seriously, can not be described as ignorance, it is a bit like child's play. It was not able to concentrate its superior forces to make a breakthrough, which led to the passive situation in the later war. It was even organized by Ukraine to launch a counterattack. Until now, the two sides of the Dnieper River formed a stalemate.
Of course, we can defend Russia in the context of the larger situation, but the reality is that if the war ends in a confrontation, Russia has already lost.
Why is it that the people who are supposed to be fighting so badly are fighting like this?
Of course, the Russian army is not the Soviet Army, and the decline in combat effectiveness caused by corruption and incompetent command can be criticized for three days. But I think the bottom line is that from the very beginning, Russia did not intend to make the war too big, and they only planned to fight a local war, eat up some territory in eastern Ukraine, and give domestic nationalists an Angle.
As a result, I lost my way. I pushed forward too much when the wind was favorable. I was not prepared for the headwind, and I was unable to retreat due to my face.
As a matter of fact, the US and Russia have long had a certain consensus on the final outcome of the war, but a war is like a fight, and the fight will end in the head. Only then will they remember their original intention when they are both exhausted and have suffered some losses.
Since October, all kinds of news have been circulating that the United States is pressuring Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, so what is there to talk about now? It is impossible to spit out the territory that Russia has eaten. If there is a real negotiation, then Ukraine will come to the negotiating table and talk about surrender.
I guess Zelensky himself didn't really have a problem with surrender. He would have liked to have found an opportunity to leave early, but the Nazis in Ukraine certainly couldn't accept it. If they had agreed to surrender, it would have been a confession of defeat, and the fate of being abandoned by the United States would have been very sad.
With these people trying to get in the way there, with NATO coming in and forcing the palace, it's hard for Ukraine to sign a peace agreement with Russia.
Some people say that this is a strategic contraction of the United States. It was planning to build a good relationship with Russia and put its major strength into the Asia-Pacific region to counter the Eastern powers.
However, since the Cold War period, the United States has invested too much in the fight against the Soviet Union in Europe, which has become a significant part of the power within the empire. When the king dared to get in touch with Putin, some people hyped up the Russia-gate affair. What matters is not whether the United States cooperated with Russia or not, but how much the United States spent every year on NATO, garrison and various military bases in Europe. How much can fill the pockets of the rich and powerful, so hard switch, how can the loss be made up?
Relations between Russia and the United States are unlikely to go back to the way they were before. Once the foundation of trust is completely shattered, no one can bet against the other side for an opportunity to stab them.
In the future, even a more Pro-Russian president will not be able to make the decision to withdraw from Europe, thus preserving some people's hereditary wealth.
The RAND report is nothing more than a smokescreen of self-aggrandizement in Chinese history books.
In any case, a Russia capable of scaring the Europeans is necessary, and American politicians can sacrifice national interests in order to package it.