Warren Buffett Says he Does not Understand Cryptocurrency Markets and Why it Matters : The Need for a New Conceptual Framework to Understand Cryptocurrencies

in philosophy •  7 years ago 

Recently, Warren Buffett has predicted that the cryptocurrency market is a bubble that is destined to have a bad ending. Ref. https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/01/10/warren-buffett-cryptocurrency-will-come-to-a-bad-ending.html

In the same interview, he has said that he does not understand Cryptocurrencies. 

To say that Warren Buffett has mastered the art of investing would be an understatement. Not even complex dynamical systems math can model Buffett's intuition and success in classical financial markets. The fact that Buffett does not understand cryptocurrencies brings us closer to the reality that we are in a paradigm shift and that we need a new conceptual framework to understand the dynamics underlying these markets and what they will be doing in the long run.  

Perhaps cryptocurrency markets are more like living/cognitive systems then conventional financial markets. To understand them, maybe we should be reading books like Fritjof Capra's 'The Web of Life' rather than listening to CNBC interviews with financial analysts.  

To understand cryptocurrency markets, we need a new conceptual framework that relies on principles of autonomy, sociology of decentralization, resilient networks (eg. small world networks), virtuous circles and adaptive/cognitive systems (Ref. https://ezequieldipaolo.wordpress.com/).  

I think we should have empathy for someone like Buffett who predicts they will falter.  Their parts are complex and unlike any system Buffett has examined before.  

Finally, we need is a cryptocurrency that will help people with this new understanding.  We could call it HUMBLECOIN.   This cryptocurrency could allow the classical investor to buy put options and any other financial devices they are more accustomed to (of course these devices would need a representation in the underlying blockchain).  This crypto could even allow users to buy futures contracts on value decreases and/or crashes in classical financial markets. 

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