The Democrats have a decent shot at the trifecta this cycle.

They have no business being that close. This is a very favorable electoral environment for Republicans.

Republicans have been god awful at candidate selection in recent elections. While Democrats have been pretty good at choosing candidates.

There's a meme about how Democrats are incompetent, but that really hasn't been true since like 2016. They've been punching above their weight.

There is a structural Republican bias to the Senate, and yet Democrats have 51 seats. They may very well hold onto the Senate after 2024. They should be down to like 46 seats in the Senate.