Predictions over the last year. Right again.

in prediction •  6 years ago 

and again...

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I said, "The good news is we will all be millionaires this year!" to all my trading contacts in early 2018. Then I said, "Bad news is what to do with a million pesos and an unusable blockchain called bitcoin."

This one came true, in that, the local currency hit nearly 43 to 1 against the dollar. That means anyone with us$23,250 in hand was effectively a millionaire. That's less than half a year's salary in the U.S. Most of the traders that I deal with have that amount on hand.

The more public prediction I made just before New Year's Eve a year ago, was that "2018 would be the year everyone finds out what a bitcoin is." and there are very few who don't know what one of those is now.

Two for two.

Here is a screen shot of the above linked post which, of course, has a deleted You Tube video in it. Alphabet (google) is turning the internet into Swiss cheese with all the broken links and deleted accounts they are creating. Not to mention, all search results need to be searched Ctrl-F to find the words your originally searched for ! What a piece of crap company.


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see full post Dec. 23, 2017


So what good is a million pesos in Buenos Aires?
When I got here it was the same as a million dollars.

A bus ride was ten cents. Now it is $19.00 in devalued paper. (pesos)
Milk went from thirty cents to $39.00 in pesos
Rent was $300, now it's $18,000 in pesos

We are going the way of Venezuela.

New prediction

My prediction is that this year everyone will learn what money is and they will find out just how worthless a rectangle debt paper really is, albeit a dollar, peso, euro or ruble. The gold hording has begun.

I carry a 1923 Morgan dollar with me everywhere. It does not matter how old it gets. It never needs Scotch tape. It is always worth a 1960 dollar.

I use it to explain the following, quickly and easily.

Example:


The house at 123 Main Street cost $ 22,000 in 1960
The same one on Main St. sold for $ 80,000 in 1990 (and seller paid tax on gains)
The same one on Main St. sold for $100,000 in 1994 (and I paid tax in gains)
The same one on Main St. sold for $145,000 in 1996 with some refurbishments. (flipped)
The same one on Main St. sells for $230,000 today.

This is the house I grew up in. The above values are paper dollars or 'debt notes'

Today $22,000 Morgan dollars could buy the house, and furnish it.

The melt value of $22,000 silver dollars turns them into $355,300 paper debt notes, commonly referred to as dollars.

Which is worth less? Paper? or Silver?

It is very sad that invariable people who hear this ask, "Can you take it to any store and buy things with it?"

Yes. You can buy a one dollar Coke with this coin, and the owner of the store can go buy 16 new bottles of Coke with it. Then sell those to the next sucker. Yes, it works as a dollar.

I choose to save them up for the day that paper does not work. Then go get a truck load of supplies for three silver dollars.

My prediction, the paper currency will be worth less.

Until it is worthless.

Paper has always gone to the same value.

zero


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The inflation is crazy in some countries. Hopefully this never happens in the US but it is possible. Imagine if you had 1 million USD and all of the sudden hyper inflation sets in and your 1 million is now equal to what 100 K was in the prior year. This would bring all out madness.

sadly it is so, if in Argentina the inflation is overflowed, in my country, Venezuela, we are in a real madness, the prices go up from one day to the next, any salary that you pay, no matter how high it is, does not cover you. expenses, the price of real estate, is calculated in dollars, and unfortunately, every day costs more to acquire things, here, people do not live .. here, we only survive ... regards

I agree with you that paper money will have less and less value.
The currency of the future, which is already present, are cryptocurrencies.

I am down many millions by holding crypto. I will not sell, so the values will go back up.

I agree with you, it is best not to sell. The value will go back up. unfortunately, sometimes, we present situations or emergencies, which can lead us to have to sell. good luck

I can give you a very clear example of what happens in my country, Venezuela, and God willing, that does not happen in your country. here what is worth Bs.S 500 today, if you do not buy it that day, tomorrow, it is worth Bs.S 700. If we have some available money, we must do the shopping immediately, because tomorrow will be late. Inflation is overflowing, and has caused, that people are increasingly poor.

A taxi going 5km was $85.00 last month and today it was $120. I hold silver and gold - the prices do not go up at all if I sell for pesos every week. I always get more pesos for the silver. I used to hold dollars but many countries are not dealing in dollars anymore.

if this goes like for next few years more that's gonna be a reality soon

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All said here is true, sadly for almost everyone. But happy for us, the early adopters.

Missing your posts mate, hope you come back here again!