Hi there betting enthusiasts and sports fans in general.
Still one game to go to end my predictions but I can already say it was bad week..again.
I must say to my defense I was never a pro punter of any sort, and hopefully some of you can learn from my mistakes.
I'm someone that expects to make a fortune from betting on football(soccer), by starting with small stakes. If you can't win with little money you are not going to win with big money.
Lately I've been looking into many diferent things and thats why I'm all over the place. I always made predictions by watching games (sometimes watching 3 at a time) and my win ratio was around 48%. Now I been looking for an edge using statistics and trying to open myself to new markets.
I must say, starting this betting diary was the best thing I could have done, even thou its hard to put yourself out there. I've learned alot this past weeks from other punters here on steemit, it has been really an eye opener. @stevencurrie @costanza @flameburst
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians- Cruzeiro @ 2,3- result 1-1. It was a good prediction, But my mistake was that I was biased to the first technical that I thought of. I said their Forward was out another game, and trully was an important tip, but I also knew Cruzeiro doesn't score that much goals eather, it only took a penalty kick to ruin this bet.
Ponte Preta vs Flamengo [email protected] Ht draw right now
Stoke- [email protected] 2-1 Went by stats. cheap strategy with little sucess backing away teams. Using diferent strategys altogether makes for inconsistency.
West BromwichAlbion vs Watford-Watford@3,30 result 2-2 I felt really confident backing Watford, this team as so much potential, especially the attack, they are going to be Premier League surprise this year.. Again biased because I ignored the head to head, Shoulda been a little more conservative and go for Watford or draw.
Many away games, and poor results.
Villareal vs Eibar - Villareal@1,72- result 3-0 This was too easy, no point in commenting this
The week before I said I was going to step it up and I did, with little result, now its time to step it up another notch lol. I'll be trying to eat (watch) everygame this week that I can. Seems to be the only way it works for me.
I've been more interested in criptocurrency lately and I stopped following the Brazilian league, that I had been since the start with good results.
Thanks everyone for the support
Keeping a diary is a good start. Sound like you are in danger of over-betting and if your watching 3 games at once you might be getting information overload. My suggestion would be to specialise a bit, maybe just pick one league or a handful of teams to follow closely. Then after you write down your bets, only put money on the ones you are most confident you have an edge.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
Hi, I haven't been watching games lately, I did at the start of Brazilian serie A. Honestly its not that hard, no information overload, because for the most part they are very boring (the games).
Im going to keep comparing stats and see what comes out of it, but watching some games is key for me, so I have to go back and do that. It's going to take a few weeks to catch up thou :l
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
Personally I am wary of using stats as the basis for punting because I think the bookies mainly base their odds on stats so you are trying to beat them at their own game and they are usually better at it. I use stats for confirmation of theories and strategies but not as a primary source if that makes sense. For instance if a teams attacking style changes when player A is in the team they might get more corners or shots on goal, but the bookies stats might not pick that up when he is in or out of the team. That is where you find your edge.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
I tottaly get that, and usually assume it's a win when teams play with reserves, which doesn't always happen.
They do base their odds on stats I have noticed that, and honestly stats like corners, offsides are not good for much, when it comes to predict 1x2. I've used alot the combination of pass success, shots per game and ball possession% to predict outcomes, which also plays into the bookies odds. Around 55/45 ratio with a big part of the wins being 1.3 odds But lately I've been studing with goal diference and the home advantage calculation, I think im on to something lol
Like with any other method, using stats or technical theory, you have to implement the same everygame, so you can see the results after 100 games. I haven't been doing this. Every game it's a diferent strategy, and the results have been disapointing.
It's going to take me a while to find one or two more things I can rely on.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
You should have done the English Championship, League One and League Two at the weekend just passed. A lot of those inform teams all won.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
Hi I prefer to concentrate on the main leagues for now.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
With these lower English leagues you always get decent odds than the English Premiership. So far I have managed to nail my accumulator 6 times this season with decent payouts too. This have been a brilliant start for me this season cos over the last previous seasons I only usually win with the accumulator around 7 times a season.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
I get it, but I don't have a system yet, so I can't follow everything. Thanks for the advice.
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
I understand and many thanks too!
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit
watch top 5 betting tips for world cup qualification matches
bet on football with minimum risk
Downvoting a post can decrease pending rewards and make it less visible. Common reasons:
Submit