https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html
For a while, I had been thinking that despite all of the trials Trump is in a better position to win the presidency than he ever was in 2020 or even in 2016. He never was ahead in an early poll in either of those elections. But I kept these ideas off social media because I know some will accuse me of shilling from Trump. Far from that, I am just looking at the information around me.
But now this and I cannot hide my musings any longer. Clearly, if these polls are accurate, and at this point, I have no reason not to think that they are not accurate, then Trump would win if the election was today. The Democrats have a year to get their act together.
A big part of this transition is the relative loss of electoral monopoly the Democrats have had with racial minorities. I have my reasons why this may be happening but I will reserve those comments since I have not done research into whether my reasons have merit, but the Democrats would be well served to be honest in their assessment of why they are bleeding voters of color and try to rectify that.