2 won / 11 lost -- Profit: -8.82 Units -- ROI: -40.09%
The matchday is over and it's time to analyze the results. I placed 13 bets with a total amount of 22 Units at risk. I lost all 4 of the result bets. I had more luck with the 3 way bets, winning 2 out of 9. The lowest odd was 3.00 and the highest 8.40 while the average odds were about 5.
Profit / Loss
I lost 8.82 Units. This sounds like a lot, but as I placed many bets with high odds, only by winning one bet more I could already have finished the week with some profit.
Result bets
Even if the result bets didn't go well, on the long term it can still be a good option. The predictions were not all bad; 1 correct, 2 close (only 1 goal difference) and 7 bad. This sounds really worse than it is, as the hit rate doesn't have to be high given the high odds on this kind of bets.
The Molali predicted 1 result right: Athletic Bilbao - Valencia 0-0
2 were real close: Levante - Leganes and Atletico Madrid - Real Socieadad: both games ended in a 2-0 while the Molali predicted a 1-0.
The average odds for my result bets was above 7, that means with 2 right bets out of 10 I could already make a profit. I am thinking abouut placing a result bet for every game for the next matchday rather than only for the value bets, but I am still not sure about that.
3-way bets
Not much to say about that: 2 won, 9 lost. Profit -4.82 Units. After the results of last week with the high profit I expected this sort of results, hope for a better hit rate for next weekend.
Performance
| Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 22 | -8.82 | -40.09% |
Bets overview
| Date | Game -- Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2018 | Valladolid - Espanyol -- Draw | 2 | 3.29 | won | Pinnacle |
| 26.10.2018 | Valladolid - Espanyol -- 0-0 | 1 | 8.11 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 27.10.2018 | Girona - Rayo Vallecano -- Draw | 2 | 3.77 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 27.10.2018 | Girona - Rayo Vallecano -- Rayo wins | 2 | 4.57 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 27.10.2018 | Athletic Bilbao - Valencia -- Draw | 2 | 3.30 | won | bet365 |
| 27.10.2018 | Athletic Bilbao - Valencia -- Valencia | 2 | 3.00 | lost | bwin |
| 27.10.2018 | Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad -- Draw | 2 | 4.1 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 27.10.2018 | Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad -- R.Sociedad | 2 | 7.64 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 27.10.2018 | Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad -- 1-0 | 1 | 5.75 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 28.10.2018 | Getafe - Betis Sevilla -- Draw | 2 | 3.13 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 28.10.2018 | Getafe - Betis Sevilla -- 0-0 | 1 | 7.41 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 28.10.2018 | Alaves - Villareal -- Draw | 2 | 3.34 | lost | Pinnacle |
| 28.10.2018 | Alaves - Villareal -- 0-0 | 1 | 8.4 | lost | Pinnacle |
