A month that started off brightly ends up in shame. More on that later. Till the start of the major leagues in August, i'll be experimenting with Overs/Unders to see if streaks and H2Hs can provide a decent predictor.
The hunch
The following factors go into the prediction:
- Clean sheets in the last 5 matches
- Number of Overs/Unders in their last 5 H2Hs
- Number of 'Both teams scoring' to predict the Overs
- League stats when it comes to clearing the 2.5 goal handicap
The results
| Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2018 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 | -1.80 | -7.5% |
Ruined in a day...
One of my favorite songs by New Order, sometimes it truly does feel as though the universe is conspiring against you.
The MLS is a league that has something like 65% of matches ending up in more than 2.5. What's interesting in that picture is that every other game ended up over 2.5 except the one i picked. Same thing in the Swedish league yesterday as well.
Times like these i have to remind myself that streaks do happen. The longest single color sequence in roulette was 32. Still a long way to go but i hope i don't match that lol.
https://www.casinomeister.com/forums/threads/longest-running-sequences.59022/
Well done! ;)
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Thank you @tangmo. Could have been better haha :)
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You're welcome! Yeah! You will always do it better and better, I believe in you.... Ha ha! ;)
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Good luck next month in the SBC League numpy !
It's always difficult to draw any conclusions on small bet sample sizes, I do like these type of situational spot tryouts though. Keep it up
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Thanks @costanza! Hope July will be a better month with more matches to add to the sample size.
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I am a big fan of football. Now, I am watching WorldCup. But two legends are out of the world cup.
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Now even more legends are out :(
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