The folks at Split Ticket released their presidential forecast.

in split •  5 months ago 

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Wonderful!

Their initial forecast has Harris with a 62% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin and Michigan as slightly lean Democrat.

And Florida and Texas as lean Republican.

Their model suggests Pennsylvania is the most likely tipping point state.

Check out their House and Senate forecasts as well. They have Democrats as slightly favored to take the House. And Republicans favored to take the Senate.

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