Florida and Texas are reaches, but definitely worthwhile investments this cycle. If the Dems are going to hold the Senate, they may very well need them given Montana is going to be a tough race.
Rosen is tracking ~10 points ahead of Harris in Nevada. Gallego is tracking ~8 points ahead of Harris in Arizona. It is kinda hilarious.
The generic ballot average also would imply Democrats are slightly favored to take the House.
(fwiw Senate polling error tends to be larger than Presidential polling error. We tend to get much less polling of Senate races).