Week 9 NFL Daily Fantasy Football Analysis - Positions, Salaries, Projected Point Values, and Custom Rankings!steemCreated with Sketch.

in sports •  8 years ago 

It's the Saturday "we are in busy season" edition of this week's DFS rankings!

Another busy week for me means I am once again late with this week's rankings. This week's culprit was mainly related to my teaching and parenting duties, respectively. Charged with some Saturday morning coffee though, I am now ready to go!

Last week I sustained just about a $14 loss, for a total of I am down about $312 lost this NFL season. I cashed in 40% of my H2H but did not place in any GPP. My average lineup scored 143 across the board.

Week 9 has already started, and boy was it off to a great start! My rankings did capture the wonderful Matt Ryan performance, but might have underestimated what Mike Evans could do against the Atlanta secondary. Looking forward to seeing if Drew Brees will pick apart my lowest rated SF defense this week!


The Excel Solver Optimal Lineup -

There are many I don't like here, like Terrence Williams, but will adjust accordingly with similar priced guys like Charcandrick West entering the starting lineups this weekend.


Want to use the solver?

You can too! It can be found here, in a shared file through Dropbox.

This is a tool you can use to project an optimal lineup for Week 9 with my custom rankings and Draft Kings salaries. It uses Microsoft Excel's built in Solver feature that will calculate optimal conditions given a certain amount of inputs. You will need to download and use with Excel on your desktop.

Feel free though to play around with your own custom players and point values, this is your sandbox! Just remember to follow the instructions provided on the sheet to use and reset each time.


REMEMBER, THIS IS NOT ADVICE ON WHAT TO DO WITH YOUR MONEY!

I do not in any way endorse you gambling solely with this information. This is for your mathematical enjoyment only!

My Top QB's:

RankChangePlayerPosTeamOppMyModelSalaryOppDefRank
1+3Drew BreesQBNOSF24.3720032
2+4Aaron RodgersQBGBIND23.1780029
30Andrew LuckQBINDGB23.1670015
4N/ACam NewtonQBCARLA21.6700020
5N/ABen RoethlisbergerQBPITBAL21.0660013
6-4Matt RyanQBATLTB20.5710025
7+4Philip RiversQBSDTEN19.9650018
8N/ADak PrescottQBDALCLE19.5610031
9-1Blake BortlesQBJAXKC19.358009
100Marcus MariotaQBTENSD19.1590019
11N/AJoe FlaccoQBBALPIT19.1550022
12-3Jameis WinstonQBTBATL18.6610026
13+3Russell WilsonQBSEABUF18.4640014
14N/AColin KaepernickQBSFNO18.1560027
15-2Matthew StaffordQBDETMIN17.956004
16+6Tyrod TaylorQBBUFSEA17.750007
17N/AEli ManningQBNYGPHI17.7570010
18N/ACase KeenumQBLACAR17.5500030
19-1Derek CarrQBOAKDEN17.463001
20N/AJosh McCownQBCLEDAL17.254008
21+3Sam BradfordQBMINDET17.0500028
22N/ARyan TannehillQBMIANYJ16.0560016
23N/ARyan FitzpatrickQBNYJMIA14.657005
24+3Trevor SiemianQBDENOAK14.3510024
25N/ABlaine GabbertQBSFNO14.3500027
26N/ATony RomoQBDALCLE14.1550031
27+1Carson WentzQBPHINYG14.0510021
28N/APaxton LynchQBDENOAK13.1500024
29N/ANick FolesQBKCJAX12.052006
30N/AShaun HillQBMINDET10.5500028
31N/ACody KesslerQBCLEDAL10.350008
32N/ALandry JonesQBPITBAL9.4500013

My Top RB's:

RankChangePlayerPosTeamOppMyModelSalaryOppDefRank
10DeMarco MurrayRBTENSD19.8760019
2N/ALe'Veon BellRBPITBAL19.4770013
3N/AEzekiel ElliottRBDALCLE19.0790031
4+9Mark IngramRBNOSF17.6480032
5+14Matt ForteRBNYJMIA17.265005
6+2Devonta FreemanRBATLTB15.6670025
7+5Melvin GordonRBSDTEN15.2630018
8-6LeSean McCoyRBBUFSEA14.962007
9N/ATodd GurleyRBLACAR14.4580030
10N/AJonathan StewartRBCARLA14.1520020
11N/AJay AjayiRBMIANYJ13.5600016
12+2Frank GoreRBINDGB12.9450015
13N/ACarlos HydeRBSFNO12.7610027
14+39Tim HightowerRBNOSF12.6400032
15+24Darren SprolesRBPHINYG12.1390021
16N/ADevontae BookerRBDENOAK12.1640024
17N/ARashad JenningsRBNYGPHI11.8390010
18+11Theo RiddickRBDETMIN11.849004
19N/ATerrance WestRBBALPIT11.5470022
20+24Matt AsiataRBMINDET11.5430028
21+24Ryan MathewsRBPHINYG9.9410021
22+8Christine MichaelRBSEABUF9.8670014
23+25Derrick HenryRBTENSD9.7500019
24N/ACameron Artis-PayneRBCARLA9.7360020
25+7Isaiah CrowellRBCLEDAL9.639008
26+7Duke JohnsonRBCLEDAL9.140008
27N/ADuJuan HarrisRBSFNO9.0300027
28-3TJ YeldonRBJAXKC8.936009
29N/AAlfred MorrisRBDALCLE8.6460031
30+11Jerick McKinnonRBMINDET8.2400028
31N/ALorenzo TaliaferroRBBALPIT8.2300022
32+3Latavius MurrayRBOAKDEN8.240001
33N/ADeAngelo WilliamsRBPITBAL8.0450013
34N/AMike DavisRBSFNO8.0390027
35-13Chris IvoryRBJAXKC7.832009
36+22Travaris CadetRBNOSF7.6300032
37+25Mike GillisleeRBBUFSEA7.541007
38N/ALance DunbarRBDALCLE7.5300031
39N/AShaun DraughnRBSFNO7.5380027
40-6Charcandrick WestRBKCJAX7.344006
41N/ABenjamin CunninghamRBLACAR7.1370030
42N/AJavorius AllenRBBALPIT6.9300022
43N/ADamien WilliamsRBMIANYJ6.6310016
44N/ABobby RaineyRBNYGPHI6.5300010
45-3Bilal PowellRBNYJMIA6.341005
46+25Daniel LascoRBNOSF6.3300032
47N/AFozzy WhittakerRBCARLA6.2320020
48+22Wendell SmallwoodRBPHINYG5.9370021
49N/APeyton BarberRBTBATL5.9300026
50N/AJuwan ThompsonRBDENOAK5.8300024
51N/ACJ ProsiseRBSEABUF5.8330014
52N/AAntone SmithRBTBATL5.8300026
53N/ADexter McClusterRBSDTEN5.3300018
54N/ATerron WardRBATLTB5.3300025
55N/AKenjon BarnerRBPHINYG5.0300021
56+8Robert TurbinRBINDGB4.9340015
57N/AKenneth DixonRBBALPIT4.6360022
58N/ADon JacksonRBGBIND4.5310029
59+6Josh FergusonRBINDGB4.4300015
60N/AOrleans DarkwaRBNYGPHI4.3340010
61N/AKapri BibbsRBDENOAK4.1350024
62N/AKenyan DrakeRBMIANYJ4.1300016
63N/APaul PerkinsRBNYGPHI4.0300010
64N/ADenard RobinsonRBJAXKC3.930009
65N/AZach ZennerRBDETMIN3.530004
66N/AKenneth FarrowRBSDTEN3.5300018
67-4Jalen RichardRBOAKDEN3.230001
68+1Dwayne WashingtonRBDETMIN3.132004
69-18Deandre WashingtonRBOAKDEN2.533001

My Top WR's:

RankChangePlayerPosTeamOppMyModelSalaryOppDefRank
1N/AAntonio BrownWRPITBAL18.9890013
20Julio JonesWRATLTB18.3960025
3+10Randall CobbWRGBIND17.8660029
4N/AOdell Beckham JrWRNYGPHI16.9880010
5+4Demaryius ThomasWRDENOAK16.7600024
6-2Mike EvansWRTBATL16.7850026
7+22Brandin CooksWRNOSF16.7750032
80Jordy NelsonWRGBIND16.2780029
9+6Emmanuel SandersWRDENOAK15.6630024
10N/ADez BryantWRDALCLE15.4740031
11-4TY HiltonWRINDGB15.3760015
12N/ADavante AdamsWRGBIND14.8590029
13N/ASteve SmithWRBALPIT14.7540022
140Amari CooperWROAKDEN14.577001
15-4Brandon MarshallWRNYJMIA14.473005
16+36Michael ThomasWRNOSF13.8550032
17N/AMike WallaceWRBALPIT13.5560022
18+22Jordan MatthewsWRPHINYG13.3570021
19N/AKenny BrittWRLACAR12.9440030
20-10Jeremy MaclinWRKCJAX12.959006
21N/AJarvis LandryWRMIANYJ12.8710016
22N/ACole BeasleyWRDALCLE12.6530031
23+7Golden TateWRDETMIN12.647004
24N/ATerrance WilliamsWRDALCLE12.4370031
25+21Willie SneadWRNOSF12.3580032
26-9Allen HurnsWRJAXKC12.249009
27N/AKelvin BenjaminWRCARLA12.0680020
28-22Allen RobinsonWRJAXKC12.069009
29+27Stefon DiggsWRMINDET12.0590028
30N/ATavon AustinWRLACAR11.9420030
31+16Mohamed SanuWRATLTB11.8410025
32-6Doug BaldwinWRSEABUF11.5620014
33-21Terrelle PryorWRCLEDAL11.461008
34N/ADonte MoncriefWRINDGB11.3580015
35-3Kendall WrightWRTENSD11.3440019
36-13Michael CrabtreeWROAKDEN11.164001
37N/ABrian QuickWRLACAR11.0340030
38+34Ty MontgomeryWRGBIND10.9580029
39+11Travis BenjaminWRSDTEN10.8560018
40N/AJeremy KerleyWRSFNO10.7400027
41-4Rishard MatthewsWRTENSD10.6380019
42N/AAndrew HawkinsWRCLEDAL10.132008
43N/AKenny StillsWRMIANYJ9.9390016
44N/ATorrey SmithWRSFNO9.8410027
45+36Cordarrelle PattersonWRMINDET9.8330028
46+8Robert WoodsWRBUFSEA9.637007
47+11Tyrell WilliamsWRSDTEN9.6500018
48-17Anquan BoldinWRDETMIN9.636004
49+19Adam ThielenWRMINDET9.6380028
50-22Marvin JonesWRDETMIN9.356004
51N/AVictor CruzWRNYGPHI8.7380010
52+37Dorial Green-BeckhamWRPHINYG8.7300021
53N/ABrandon ColemanWRNOSF8.6300032
54+20Jermaine KearseWRSEABUF8.6310014
55+20Quincy EnunwaWRNYJMIA8.651005
56+3Dontrelle InmanWRSDTEN8.5310018
57N/ASammie CoatesWRPITBAL8.4430013
58N/AKamar AikenWRBALPIT8.4350022
59N/AMarkus WheatonWRPITBAL8.4320013
60-18Marqise LeeWRJAXKC8.134009
61N/ABrice ButlerWRDALCLE8.0380031
62N/ATed GinnWRCARLA7.9390020
63+28Nelson AgholorWRPHINYG7.9310021
64N/ATaylor GabrielWRATLTB7.8300025
65-1Tyreek HillWRKCJAX7.534006
66N/ACorey BrownWRCARLA7.5310020
67N/ADevante ParkerWRMIANYJ7.4480016
68N/AQuinton PattonWRSFNO7.3300027
69N/AEli RogersWRPITBAL7.3320013
70N/ADevin FunchessWRCARLA7.3340020
71N/ASterling ShepardWRNYGPHI7.3460010
72N/ADarrius Heyward-BeyWRPITBAL7.2300013
73+14Tyler LockettWRSEABUF7.0380014
74-9Adam HumphriesWRTBATL6.9310026
75N/ACobi HamiltonWRPITBAL6.7300013
76+6Justin HardyWRATLTB6.6300025
77-15Tajae SharpeWRTENSD6.5300019
78+10Justin HunterWRBUFSEA6.530007
79+5Phillip DorsettWRINDGB6.5370015
80+12Charles JohnsonWRMINDET6.3300028
81-28Chris ConleyWRKCJAX6.231006
82+12Marquise GoodwinWRBUFSEA6.133007
83N/AJordan NorwoodWRDENOAK5.9300024
84N/ABreshad PerrimanWRBALPIT5.9330022
85-14Seth RobertsWROAKDEN5.930001
86+12Bennie FowlerWRDENOAK5.3300024
87N/ARobby AndersonWRNYJMIA5.230005
88N/ARicardo LouisWRCLEDAL4.730008
89+8Walter PowellWRBUFSEA4.630007
90N/ABryan WaltersWRJAXKC4.530009
91+2Paul RichardsonWRSEABUF4.5300014
92N/ARashad GreeneWRJAXKC4.430009
93-33Albert WilsonWRKCJAX4.230006
94+10Eric WeemsWRATLTB3.6300025
95N/ABrandon TateWRBUFSEA3.530007
96-11Andre HolmesWROAKDEN3.430001

My Top TE's:

RankChangePlayerPosTeamOppMyModelSalaryOppDefRank
1N/AGreg OlsenTECARLA15.2620020
2+4Jimmy GrahamTESEABUF12.4570014
3+2Delanie WalkerTETENSD12.4460019
4N/AJason WittenTEDALCLE11.9370031
5+4Coby FleenerTENOSF11.9340032
6+5Antonio GatesTESDTEN11.5300018
7+9Kyle RudolphTEMINDET10.8400028
8-5Travis KelceTEKCJAX10.553006
9+4Gary BarnidgeTECLEDAL9.439008
10N/ALance KendricksTELACAR9.3290030
11N/ACrockett GillmoreTEBALPIT9.3250022
12N/ADennis PittaTEBALPIT9.1380022
13-6Julius ThomasTEJAXKC8.732009
14+7Eric EbronTEDETMIN8.231004
15+10Zach ErtzTEPHINYG8.1350021
16-2Hunter HenryTESDTEN8.1330018
17+5Charles ClayTEBUFSEA7.927007
18-1Cameron BrateTETBATL7.8330026
19+10Jack DoyleTEINDGB7.8360015
20N/ALarry DonnellTENYGPHI7.6260010
21+32Virgil GreenTEDENOAK7.1260024
22+9Richard RodgersTEGBIND6.9270029
23+22Josh HillTENOSF6.8250032
24N/AVance McDonaldTESFNO6.6260027
25+5Dwayne AllenTEINDGB6.6290015
26+6Levine ToiloloTEATLTB6.0250025
27-8Anthony FasanoTETENSD5.9250019
28N/AAustin HooperTEATLTB5.9250025
29N/AGarrett CelekTESFNO5.7250027
30N/AJesse JamesTEPITBAL5.7280013
31N/AGavin EscobarTEDALCLE5.6250031
32N/AJace AmaroTETENSD5.5250019
33N/ABrandon MyersTETBATL5.5250026
34N/ABrent CelekTEPHINYG5.4250021
35N/ABlake BellTESFNO5.3250027
360Austin Seferian-JenkinsTENYJMIA5.325005
37N/ALadarius GreenTEPITBAL5.1250013
38N/AWill TyeTENYGPHI5.1250010
39N/ADion SimsTEMIANYJ5.0250016
40-2Luke StockerTETBATL4.9250026
41-13Marcedes LewisTEJAXKC4.925009
42N/ARhett EllisonTEMINDET4.7250028
43N/AEd DicksonTECARLA4.7250020
44N/ATrey BurtonTEPHINYG4.7250021
45N/AGeoff SwaimTEDALCLE4.6250031
46N/AJohn PhillipsTEDENOAK4.3250024
47N/AMyCole PruittTEMINDET4.1250028
48N/AJeff HeuermanTEDENOAK4.1250024
49N/ATyler HigbeeTELACAR4.1250030
50+2Erik SwoopeTEINDGB4.0250015
51N/AMarQueis GrayTEMIANYJ3.5250016
52N/APhillip SupernawTETENSD3.5250019
53N/AXavier GrimbleTEPITBAL3.4250013
54-13Mychal RiveraTEOAKDEN3.425001
55N/ADominique JonesTEMIANYJ3.3250016
56-29Demetrius HarrisTEKCJAX3.225006
57N/ASean McGrathTESDTEN3.0250018
58N/ADavid JohnsonTEPITBAL2.9250013
59N/ANick O'LearyTEBUFSEA2.925007
60N/AClay HarborTEDETMIN2.925004
61-12Clive WalfordTEOAKDEN2.225001
62N/ABrandon WilliamsTESEABUF2.0250014

My Top DST's:

Bye Weeks - Arizona, Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, New England, Washington

RankChangeTeamPercentile
10DEN0.987
2+2ARI0.951
3-1HOU0.934
4-1MIN0.883
50MIA0.721
6+7JAX0.718
7+2SEA0.718
8-1DAL0.694
9+1KC0.689
10-4PHI0.627
110NE0.623
120WAS0.612
13+2BAL0.537
14-6BUF0.532
15+7GB0.497
16+1NYJ0.361
17-3CHI0.344
18-2TEN0.326
19+5SD0.284
20+7LA0.238
21-1NYG0.229
22+1PIT0.216
23-4CIN0.208
24+7OAK0.150
25-4TB0.143
26-8ATL0.139
27+5NO0.134
280DET0.122
29+1IND0.116
30-5CAR0.088
31-2CLE0.042
32-6SF0.015

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