What time do steemit whales upvote in general ?

in stats •  7 years ago 

Ever thought at what time do whales upvote! I was thinking about the same. Its like, some time would have been preferred over other.

So I search a program in Python to plot the upvote times. Here is what I found!

The founders

@ned and @dan have very little time to upvote.

Whale bots

The accounts @steemed, @itsascam, and @steemroller are all bots run by the same whale. Never Sleep!

Others

Lets look at some other whales1

berniesanders

Between 07:00 UTC and 14:00 UTC @berniesanders is mostly inactive

blocktrades

@blocktrades is very likely asleep between 06:00 UTC and 14:00 UTC.

complexring

While upvoting between 06:00 and 12:00 UTC is significantly lower, there are still some votes taking place. @complexring is much more active in upvoting than @berniesanders.

nextgencrypto

@nextgencrypto does most upvoting during the weekend with some activity in the evening (their local time), assuming the gaps indicate sleep.

pharesim

@pharesim's behaviour resembles @complexring. Perhaps a bot. There are lower periods of activity which could indicate sleep. Friday seems to be the most stable day where there's a clear pickup in voting after 12:00 UTC.

rainmain

It's clear that @rainman is sleeping between around 22:00 UTC and 04:00 UTC. Another low upvoting whale, @rainman is pretty consistent during the day.

smooth

@smooth's behaviour is similar to rainmain in that it's consistent during voting times, but there's no clear downtime, which raises the suspicion of bot use. @smooth is a slightly more active upvoter during the weekend.

tombstone

@tombstone's graph looks empty, but that's caused by the bizarre outlier on Friday at 10:00 UTC. I have no idea what @tombstone was doing then, but it was an upvote frenzy.

The rest of the time @tombstone is quite consistent with voting, with slightly more activity between 02:00 UTC and 08:00 UTC.

When should I post?

I've intentionally not drawn too many conclusion from these graphs. Perhaps the most useful information is knowing which whales upvote the most and when, so you can time your publication correctly.

Do you want to increase the chance that @berniesanders will upvote you? Don't post at 07:00 UTC because for the next 8 hours he's unlikely to see it; better to post around 03:00 UTC on a Wednesday.

With so many whales you're more or less covered whenever you post. What you're posting is far more important than when you post it.

Reference:

https://steemit.com/programming/@bitcalm/when-do-whales-upvote

Show me the code

Feel free to use and adapt the code below as you like. Any bugs, please let me know in the comments. Read @furion's post for more information on parsing the blockchain.

The program requires Python 3 and the following libraries, which you can install with pip:

matplotlib
numpy
pandas
seaborn
steem
The program runs on the command-line. Provide a list of whale username and optionally, either the start and end blocks to analyze or start and end dates. The latter will convert the dates into the appropriate block numbers (this isn't fast - there's probably a better way to do it).

python3 vote_dist.py dan ned smooth berniesanders -f 2016-07-01 -t 2016-07-31
Enjoy!

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import argparse
import datetime
import math
from collections import defaultdict

import pandas as pd
import seaborn as sns
import numpy as np
from steemapi.steemnoderpc import SteemNodeRPC

def get_stats(rpc, users, beg_block, end_block):
print("Getting stats for {} from block {} to block {}".format(
users, beg_block, end_block))

stats = defaultdict(list)
current_block = beg_block
while current_block < end_block:
    block = rpc.get_block(current_block)

    if "transactions" not in block:
        continue

    for tx in block["transactions"]:
        for op in tx["operations"]:
            op_type = op[0]
            op_data = op[1]

            timestamp = pd.to_datetime(tx['expiration'])

            if op_type == "vote":
                author = op_data['author']
                voter = op_data['voter']
                weight = op_data['weight']
                if voter in users and weight > 0:
                    stats[voter].append((timestamp, weight))
    current_block += 1
return stats

def get_block_num_for_date(rpc, date):
"""
Gets the first block number for the given date.

This is anything but fast. There's probably a better way, but this was the
first thing that came to mind.
"""
print("Getting block num for {}".format(date))

block = rpc.get_block(1)
bc_date = pd.to_datetime(block['timestamp'])

SECONDS_IN_DAY = 24 * 60 * 60
NUM_BLOCKS_PER_DAY = math.floor(SECONDS_IN_DAY / 3)

# Estimate the block number
block_num = (date - bc_date).days * NUM_BLOCKS_PER_DAY

# Use estimation to find the actual block number
best_block_num = block_num
best_block_diff = None
while True:
    block = rpc.get_block(block_num)
    block_date = pd.to_datetime(block['timestamp'])
    diff = (date - block_date).total_seconds()

    if best_block_diff:
        if abs(diff) > abs(best_block_diff):
            break

    best_block_num = block_num
    best_block_diff = diff
    if diff > 0:
        block_num += 1
    elif diff < 0:
        block_num -= 1
    else:
        break
return best_block_num

def create_plot(user, votes):
print("Creating plot for {}".format(user))

df = pd.DataFrame.from_records(votes, columns=['time', 'weight'])
df['day'] = df['time'].dt.weekday_name
df['hour'] = df['time'].dt.hour

col_order = ["Monday", "Tuesday", "Wednesday", "Thursday", "Friday",
             "Saturday", "Sunday"]

plot = sns.FacetGrid(df, col="day", col_order=col_order, col_wrap=3)
plot = plot.map(sns.plt.hist, "hour", bins=np.arange(0, 23),
                color="c").set_titles("{col_name}")
plot.set(xticks=np.arange(23, step=2), xlim=(0, 23))
plot.set_axis_labels('Hour', 'Upvotes')
plot.fig.suptitle(user, size=16)
plot.fig.subplots_adjust(top=.9)

return plot

if name == "main":
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
parser.add_argument('usernames', nargs='*',
help='Usernames to show statistics for')
parser.add_argument('-s', '--server', default='ws://localhost:8090',
dest='server',
help='Address of the steem JSON-RPC server')
block_group = parser.add_argument_group('blocks')
block_group.add_argument('-b', '--begin-block', default=1, type=int,
dest='beg_block',
help='The block to begin on.')
block_group.add_argument('-e', '--end-block', default=None, type=int,
dest='end_block',
help='The block to end on. Default is last_irreversible_block_num.')
date_group = parser.add_argument_group('dates')
date_group.add_argument('-f', '--from-date', type=str, dest='from_date',
help='The date to end on.')
date_group.add_argument('-t', '--to-date', type=str, dest='to_date',
help='The date to end on.')
args = parser.parse_args()

# Connect to steem rpc server
rpc = SteemNodeRPC(args.server, "", "")

# Get the block numbers
if args.from_date and args.to_date:
    args.from_date = pd.to_datetime(args.from_date)
    args.to_date = pd.to_datetime(args.to_date)
    args.beg_block = get_block_num_for_date(rpc, args.from_date)
    args.end_block = get_block_num_for_date(rpc, args.to_date + datetime.timedelta(days=1)) - 1
else:
    props = rpc.get_dynamic_global_properties()
    if args.end_block:
        if args.end_block > props['last_irreversible_block_num']:
            args.end_block = props['last_irreversible_block_num']
    else:
        args.end_block = props['last_irreversible_block_num']

# Validate block numbers
if args.beg_block < 0:
    print("begin-block must be greater than 0")
    sys.exit(1)

if args.end_block < args.beg_block:
    print("end-block must be greater than beg-block")
    sys.exit(1)

# Get the stats
stats = get_stats(rpc, args.usernames, args.beg_block, args.end_block)
for user, votes in stats.items():
    plot = create_plot(user, votes)
    plot.savefig('{}.png'.format(user))

if len(stats) == 0:
    print("Nothing found for the given parameters")

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Hi! I am a robot. I just upvoted you! I found similar content that readers might be interested in:
https://steemit.com/programming/@bitcalm/when-do-whales-upvote

some good info :)

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