there seem to be lots of assumptions you make which are not warrented by data
Agreed, I am employing a significant proportion of intuition and anecdotal data to support my hypothesis that Steem is not "crossing the chasm" (a known marketing concept) from its nerd (and one degree of relationship from it) demographic.
But you have not answered the most important part:
"Lets assume for a second you are right, how long to you expect it will take until we will see Steemit breaking down? Would you be open to changing your mind if it doesn't? Do you see this as inevitable, or do you think there is any important step which if taken could prevent the "implosion"?"
What are your thoughts on that?
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I am watching for either daily or monthly uniques not growing according to the logistic function adoption of new technologies. The monthly uniques are not reported and I don't know if anyone is recording this data periodically so they can chart it. Or otherwise building blockchain analysis tool to extract the data.
Also some way to differentiate between bot (including duplicate Sybil) users and real human users w.r.t. to that data.
Also I'd like some stats on demographics, especially on females and those coming who had no interest in crypto before they arrived.
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