RE: [Steem Predicts] Who will be Joe Biden's running mate?

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[Steem Predicts] Who will be Joe Biden's running mate?

in steemexclusive •  4 years ago 

I'm glad to see that Tulsi Gabbard is in the discussion at least. Biden's camp appears to be appealing to moderate/centrists, as Joe has hung his hat on that voting peg throughout his career. Kamala is not a progressive, but they are going for the female and African American votes which have some overlap with progressive demographics. The other names probably have a little too much leftist baggage for Biden's strategy. Susan Rice could spark some fireworks, especially if Barr's DOJ tries to take her down for unmasking Trump campaign officials.

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Thanks for entering a vote on a comment and for kick-starting the discussion!

You raise good points, and I agree with most - especially the part about Susan Rice. I just looked at the list again for today's updates from predictit. I didn't do a line by line comparison, but three things that jump out at me are that (i) Susan Rice moved from $0.22 to $0.32 and that (ii) Hillary Clinton is now ranked at #9 with a price of $0.02. Given your comment, I'm sorry to say that (iii) Hillary's rise bumps Tulsi Gabbard out of the top-10.

An interesting aside is that earlier in the week I heard a TV analyst say they were expecting an announcement this week, but according to this contract predictit is favoring next week, August 9 through August 15. I started following it last week, and predictit has been consistent on that point. Today on TV, I heard a different TV analyst suggest that an announcement this week is unlikely. During the 2016 election, predictit was hours ahead of the media on election night, and if next week turns out to be right for Biden's running-mate announcement, then they seem to be ahead again.