Some Steemians may be impressed by the 42% returns over the past two weeks, but they haven't seen anything yet! Since dropping to an all-time weekly average low of $0.0723 in early March of this year, STEEM has been a cryptocurrency madman. In the trailing 11 weeks, STEEM has skyrocketed to a 964% profit, or an average weekly profit of nearly 88%.
Under the traditional discipline of technical analysis, market technicians will be screaming bloody murder for everyone to exit their positions while they still can. If STEEM was a publicly-traded security, so many technical metrics -- particularly the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MAC-D) -- would signal an overheated and unsustainable market.
If you were to glance at a typical arithmetic chart of STEEM, you'd probably come to the same conclusion. But when you consider the burgeoning cryptocurrency on a magnitude, or logarithmic scale, that perception will change quickly. Yes, STEEM is boiling red hot, but in an undervalued -- not overvalued -- state. Let me explain...
Bears Beware!
Under a logarithmic price-volume chart, we discern that STEEM only had one pronounced parabolic move -- the original shock rally in July 2016 that briefly sent the cryptocurrency to $4. This entire 459% swing took place in under one week. Such ballistic moves had to be corrected.
On the other hand, the present rally that we're enjoying is much more reasonable against the horizontal axis. As previously mentioned, STEEM almost hit quadruple differentials since early March. However, the weekly profitability of 88% is far less than the weekly rate achieved last summer (459%); in fact, by a margin of 80%!
So when critics slam STEEM for being a speculative "ponzi scheme," they're basing their arguments on halfway math. That is, it's not just the x-axis, or the valuation, that matters. How long an asset took to achieve a particular market cap is just as critical to determine whether or not future swings are probable.
Unreal Undervaluation of STEEM Currency
For anyone who feels that they missed the boat on STEEM and the Steemit opportunity, fear not! The best part of the bull rally is just beginning.
During the time when the STEEM price averaged slightly over $3, the trading volume averaged 438,307 coins. The ratio of volume to dollar value was roughly 146,102X.
In just the past three weeks, trading volume is a whopping 5.4 million! However, the STEEM price averages a comparatively miniscule 67 cents! This means that now, we are sitting on a volume to dollar value ratio of over 8,000,000X!!!
To put this into perspective, today's ratio exceeds last year's parabolic rally by over 5,400%. This category of ridiculous undervaluation -- that is, an extreme volume of pressure pushing a sub-dollar asset -- is unheard of. It can only correct to the upside!
STEEM is Primed to Explode!
I hope I'm making this point abundantly clear. STEEM is like a bullet in the rifle chamber, and the volume trend is the trigger. The cryptocurency is so primed for explosive growth, it's quite frankly scary.
In the past few days, the Steemit market lay witness to volume that exceeded 7.4 million. This is 37% of Apple stock's trailing three-month average volume! All for a cryptocurrency that trades under a buck, and which not too many people know about.
Are you seeing this picture? Are you getting excited? I know I am!
STEEM ON!
Great piece. Shared on twitter. Stephen
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Thank you sir, that's so awesome of you! :)
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@stephenkendal is a WORKHORSE!
You should also collaborate as well.
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He's been awesome! He's retweeted me twice, and he's also been featured on the Max Keiser show ... it's super flattering :)
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Good for you picking up on the whos WHO!
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Plus, a super British name like "Stephen P. Kendal" is a dead giveaway! :)
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There is some food for thought! The possibilities are unpredictably wild!.... Outstanding article!
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Load up the fucking, boat, man...load that shit up! :)
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Excellent STEEM analysis and I should also say thank you for the knowledge because I'm definitely investing in some STEEM tonight.
Resteemed · UpVoted · Followed
Thanks and praise 🙏🏻 Im looking forward to reading more of your posts.
I UpVote @ 100% and Im happy to see I was able to bump you up from $11 & some change to a bit over $13. It's very gratifying when that happens. (Ooh dang up even more.)
Im trying to get to the point where my UpVote always pays out.
I'm creating custom "Shout Outs" that I'll be posting everywhere on S.M those who Follow · UpVote · Resteem me. .....The Shout Outs will soon be replaced by a crypto coin.....
Regards. V
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Thank you so much! And yeah, I'm investing in STEEM everyday so I practice what I preach! :)
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Sure looks like you deserve it to me!
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I appreciate your kind words...I'm striving to put the best content I can on the Steemit community. Honestly, I'd like to get to a point where I can STEEM full-time :)
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You said it @bullishmoney
"Honestly, I'd like to get to a point where I can STEEM full-time :)"
Careful what you wish for...
;)
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Steem to the moon!!
Let's all ride it together :D
upvoted
@shayne
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Hell yeah! :)
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Your analysis sure is exciting! I hope a lot more people around the world can get into Steemit before the price explodes. It does feel like time is running out.
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I believe we're in the early stages but those that get in later will have to work harder for their returns due to the law of big numbers.
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Steem is much more than just Crypto currency. We did't see nothing yet. Time to buy is running out. Hurry guys.
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Certainly, the window for explosive growth narrows the more people diddle-dally! :)
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Fingers crossed you are right! Following you now
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Lol...I'm doing the same! :)
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I just signed up for steemit today and I am so new to cryptocurrencies and block chain technology. I thought one could accrue steem dollars through upvotes, but you can also just outright buy them like bitcoins?
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Yep! And you can sell them later, after the price goes up.
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So its both? Example to clarify: If I am a beautiful woman and I post pictures of me doing yoga in my bikini and it gets 10000 upvotes, that translates directly into STEEM dollars, kind of like reputation on a similar site like reddit? I used reddit for a while, but got banned for silly reasons.
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I think that at the moment Steem's price depends primarily on user growth.
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Right now, there's so much volume (or user engagement) and the price of STEEM is comparatively low relative to July 2016's spike rally -- I just don't think this crazy situation can last that long before a big move! :)
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$1.50 on the cards?
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I'd say so...we might go into a longer sideways consolidation, but if so, I believe that it would skyrocket. Maybe we'll see $1.50 briefly before it hits $2 :)
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Thats even better :)
Good days are here again :D
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Oh yeah, they definitely are! :)
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Load, Load, Load!
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Amen! :)
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Thanks for the analysis and your associated perspective.
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Sure thing, thank you!
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Great analysis. It is always difficult to predict the markets, so let's hope you are right. To be honest I am not in a hurry. I want to buy more Steem :-)
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You should have some time, but the market is primed for a big move :)
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