This is a fundamental flaw in the curation system. Imagine you are going to back a horse in a race, and the favourite, who won it's last 5 races, has the same long odds as the outsiders... You're gonna vote for the favourite every time. Something needs to be tweaked to encourage more sincere voting.
RE: Curators dilemma: Is it good vs Is it going to make it to the top
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Curators dilemma: Is it good vs Is it going to make it to the top