Steemit, EOS, Competition and why the "First Mover Advantage" Might Save Us!

in steemit •  7 years ago 

Whenever you have a system that draws widespread attention and enjoys some popularity, you are also going to get your inevitable horde of critics.

Steemit is no exception to that: People criticize the rewards system, bid bots, spamming issues and a host of other things that might "kill" the community.

Nothing strange about that; it's not unique to Steemit!

The "Danger" of Competitors?

As of late, I have seen a lot of "chatter" about EOS — because it's "going live" — and how a "Steemit clone" on the EOS blockchain might "kill" this community... because we have so many issues here, and they could have solved them there

Leaves
Japanese maples

The idea of a competitor is mostly talk, mind you, and draft versions of any such thing have pretty much been discarded as jokes... so far.

Recently @donkeypong wrote a piece on withdrawing support for EOS content, as well as Steemit witnesses materially involved in the EOS project, specifically as "block producers." Naturally, this stirred up some strong feelings.

Whether this form of "double-dipping" by key Steemians — namely top witnesses — is a bad thing aside, there's no doubt that Steemit (as a venue) can't afford to be complacent about its forward path, under any circumstances. No business can. It's not specific to Steemit. 

The First Mover Advantage

There's a somewhat well-know economic/marketing theory called "The First Mover Advantage."

Leaves
A Zen view

It essentially suggests that the "first mover" (in this case Steemit) to move into a market niche enjoys certain benefits that — theoretically speaking — makes it more resistant to competitors.

Moreover, the longer you get to live in that "pioneering" spot, the more solid your position becomes. In Steemit's case, we're at two years and counting, which would be considered "ages" in the fast moving web environment.

Again, let me reiterate that it's a somewhat marginal effect, and that it's not an advantage that allows you to be "asleep at the wheel," so whatever is planned at "top levels" at Steemit still needs to be implemented with diligence!

Why This Might be Significant for Steemit

There is definitely criticism of the "First Mover" theory, and every time it is brought up, someone comes forth with research and proof of exceptions. And that's fair enough.

WaterGarden
A water garden

But you also have to look at the types of ventures this is applied to. And the psychology behind them... and their users/customers.

For example, in spite of their enormous resources and thousands of talented developers, Google was unable to get Google+ to significantly put a wrinkle in Facebook's social media market dominance. 

In Steemit's case, the thing we have going for us is one of the central attributes of Social Media and blogging: "Stickiness." Bloggers and content creators are a funny bunch... the more hours and time they have invested in creating content on a platform, the less inclined they are to leave... even if alternatives show up. 

The more TIME and SWEAT EQUITY people are putting into building their Steemit "spheres of influence," the less likely they become abandon all that work in favor of building something new... and the clock keeps ticking. 

For example, for every additional week I spend here posting and engaging... the more a potential Steemit competitor looks like "an interesting diversion," rather than "I can't wait to jump ship!"

And that's going to keep building, every day.

"Dabbling" Doesn't Work!

Another interesting example I can think of is eBay. 

Over the years, the online auction giant has been subject to endless gloom and doom talk from their millions of sellers... and how eBay will be "doomed" the moment someone creates a viable competitor.

Daisy
Daisy

Actually, in their 20-year history, lots of eBay competitors have sprung up... and vanished again.

eBay still stands, and still leads the market. Why? "Stickiness."

Whenever a competitor comes along, those complaining sellers who would be so quick to leave always end up back at "Yeah, but I already have all my stuff here, and my customers expect to find me here, and I already have a substantial reputation here..."

And sure, they try the new "alt" site... but they only "dabble." And dabbling is not enough to build a success... so the half-hearted attempt doesn't actually work... to they come back to their "first mover" venue.

Steemit is — in my opinion — quite a lot like that. Every day we add a little more, become a little more invested, build a little more following, build a little more solidity, a little more reputation.

And here's the interesting — and typically unexplored and unexplained — side effect: 

The ones who DO "jump ship" are typically those with the lowest commitment level, looking for the "easiest results!" In other words, not the most dedicated hard workers. 

Guess what that DOES for the "new" competitor? They end up with all the least loyal people... the ones most likely to "jump again," the moment some other option shows up! Meanwhile, back at the "First Mover" venue, the community is almost happy to be rid of them!

Of course, these are sweeping generalities, not specifics. But it's still something to keep in mind!

How about YOU? How is your loyalty level? Are you likely to "jump ship" the moment an alternative presents itself? Or would you only "test the waters" with a new possibility? Do you feel "invested" in the workd you have already done, or does "starting from scratch again" not bother you? Leave a comment-- share your experiences-- be part of the conversation!


Animated banner created by @zord189

(As usual, all text and images by the author, unless otherwise credited. This is original content, created expressly for Steemit)
Created at 180602 10:17 PDT

Authors get paid when people like you upvote their post.
If you enjoyed what you read here, create your account today and start earning FREE STEEM!
Sort Order:  
  ·  7 years ago (edited)

I think EOS will be more of a competitor to Ethereum in the short term than anything else, a gas free ICO is a huge advantage. Now it is fair to say that a Steemit competitor could be built in EOS with relative ease, in comparison to building a whole blockchain first, such a competitor will materialize at some point, on EOS or elsewhere. EOS itself is not really a competitor to Steem at this point though.

It maybe a competitor to the idea of Steem + SMTs but that is different and largely separate from Steemit the community anyway. I think in that context the first mover advantage is eroded significantly, it will be relying more on the existing user base just as google did in the example you gave. I think that user base advantage will only last so long though, they need to get SMTs out the door reasonably soon after EOS launches or it will be EOS that have the first mover advantage when it comes to many types of DAPP.

All that being said, the us or them attitude that I have seen recently does not have to exist, DTube for examply relies as much on IPFS as on Steem, yet no one bats an eyelid. You never know, it could come to pass that some apps use features from both chains. For example I think Steem Monsters could conceivably benefit from using EOS to enhance the gameplay side while continuing to leverage the userbase, reward system and digital ownership of the cards here. The chains could complement each other instead of competing.

Of course, if you look at the content and timing of the SMT whitepaper then Dan's comments about building a better Steemit on EOS, it doesn't sound like "compliment" is on the menu, at least not at the Block One / Steemit Inc level. That doesn't mean the community has to follow suit though.

Whereas everything you say basically rings true, I think we also need to keep in mind that there tends to be quite different behavior between the "wholesale" (developer) user and the "retail" (end user) behavior. End users tend to be notoriously fickle. As a metaphor, you can build the greatest amusement park on the planet, but if the visitors don't like the layout and color scheme, it will still fail.

We definitely do need to see the "Communities/HiveMind" features rolled out as soon as it is viable, along with some working versions of SMTs.

Dtube is an interesting example.... as I recall, they are not alone in offering "two options," which basically looks like "hedging" to me.

Well maybe I'm wrong but the trouble with the end user is, quite a lot don't seem to fully understand the difference between Steem & Steemit. I spoke about it earlier after reading that massive comment thread under @donkypong post you referenced. If you are interested take a look, it's quite long though.

https://steemit.com/steem/@indurkin/steem-vs-eos-build-bridges-not-fences

I think DTube relies to heavily on the Steemit community to survive apart from it, thugh I suppose that may not always be true.

Well, yes, you're right about that. And that ambiguity — I expect — will persist for as long as Steemit is perceived as the "flagship" app/front end/entry point to the Steem blockchain. In a sense, Steemit is the "store window" and the Steem blockchain is "what's inside." Except, of course, if you're an investor, in which case the whole thing suddenly becomes an asset rather than technology or social media.

I read your post and commented separately; thanks for adding to the discussion!

I agree. It will be interesting to see what EOS does. Supposedly their network is faster and better but who knows. It seems like the Steem blockchain is already pretty much "fully" developed. Long term it could be Steem vs EOS. I think Steem will come out on top but we shall see.

I also try to keep in mind that Steemit is unlikely ever to become a "Facebook killer." It's always going to be a "niche site" of sorts, maybe along the lines of some of the "social blogging" venues of the early 2000's. But I'd like to think that even a Steemit with 50 million users (let's say, five years down the road) would be a considerable success.

I'm optimistic. I'd hope for 100 million in 10 years maybe a billion. Right now I don't think the Steemit website could handle 1 million daily users.
You might want to sign up for @dustsweeper since you don't self upvote.

Interesting topic - look at Bitcoin for example - classic example of the first mover advantage and years later and with so many competitors they still have by far the largest market share, although there are competitors out there doing it better. This is to do with peoples perceptions to people hear crytpo (newbies) and Bitcoin is the first (and sometimes only) crypto that comes to mind. I dont think Steem has that much adoption yet but I agree that we do have the first mover advantage, and also agree that those who have been here a while wont move on as they have spent alot of time here building a following and learning how things work.

I am interested to see how it pans out with EOS there is a lot of hype and excitement around it but I dont think that it will destroy Steemit - anyways competition can be a good thing - those heavily invested in Steem might work abit harder to fix some of the problems.

Yup, Bitcoin is a good example... and there's even some financial "stickiness" there. Even though many of the alt projects are completely independent with their own visions (not just "BTC clones"), when the price of BTC goes up, they go up... and vice versa.

Steemit is doing a pretty good job of "building itself out" with the various apps that keep getting added-- Busy, Steempshot, Dtube, Dlive, Dmania and so on... they all represent (in a small way) "endorsement" of the Steem blockchain. Even so, Steemit remains the primary "front window" on the Steem blockchain... so we do have to work hard at "looking good."

Yeah I hope over time that some alts break away from this - at the moment Bitcoin rules the market and others follow in terms of price movement!

Yeah I reckon its doing very well - it seems there are always new projects in the works - and they are always pretty functionable. I dont think Steem is going anywhere anytime soon as there is so much great work being done and loads of people heavily invested (money and timewise)

Recently @donkeypong wrote a piece on withdrawing support for EOS content, as well as Steemit witnesses materially involved in the EOS project, specifically as "block producers."

how is that a bad thing?

"No one can serve two masters. Either you will hate the one and love the other, or you will be devoted to the one and despise the other. You cannot serve both Steem and EOS. You cannot serve both Steem and EOS.

It's not a bad thing.
Didn't mean to suggest it was.

And I'd agree that "fence sitters" are unlikely to ever get very far... they offer no full commitment to any one thing they are involved in.

Tech can be bolted in and bolted out.
Networks of people are incredibly resistant to transitioning elsewhere.
It's why we struggle to win users from Facebook.
They're coming though, because Facebook has abused its monopoly.

Very true.

And the most frequent "objections" to Steemit I hear from Facebook users are always that (A) they are not even willing to try Steemit unless it has all the features (photo albums, messaging, groups, business pages) Facebook has and (B) "Yeah, but all my stuff is already ON Facebook, and all my friends are here!"

That's very, very hard to overcome.

They need to understand that their unwillingness to consider leaving is the reason ol' mate Mark fills the place with ads, and heavily controls what they see, using his algorithms.
"He knows you won't leave, so he's treating you like somebody who won't leave"

I guess that's one of the downsides of brand loyalty in a centralized structure... you can get away with pretty much anything.

The lack of ads is actually one of my top pluses of being on Steemit.

I mean it'd be pretty stupid if you have something like over 9000 SP on steemit, spent about 2 years and just to go start all over again on EOS.

Plus, "migrating" a following is not nearly as easy as you think. Even if you're a "bigwig" with 100K followers, you're unlikely to move more than 10% of them with you... because they have grown loyal to the venue, in the meantime. Just ask @jerrybanfield... he has 2.2 million followers on Facebook, and even through he's a 24/7 "testimonial" for Steemit, only 38 thousand followed him to Steemit...

Exactly, not many people are willing to change venues that easily, creating new accounts and growing a following is extremely difficult.

Don't forgot though, EOS is just a blockchain at this point. There is no Steemit comparable DAPP, though I'd be amazed if one doesn't appear eventually.

been here for a year

starting all over again on EOS will be difficult

And I wouldn't. And most people wouldn't... I might create an alt account on such a social app, but mostly as a means to drive traffic towards Steemit.

That would be an interesting strategy...

I hope both Steem and SBD trade high enough for people to stay here than move there

i will always support you man!!

Thanks; appreciate it.

nice photogaraphy man, i like your work.

amazing photography...the hill looking so beautiful.....i waiting for your next post..
Great show, I like it!

Beautiful green plants :-)

wow love photo new post man....thank you...

wow love photo new post man....thank you...

great points! i had to laugh at the dabbling thing as i dabbled in that other photo based crypto backed one that came out a while ago and people were talking about for a hot minute-- yeah i can't even remember its name hahah ;) perfectly describes my dabbling. i think the stickiness will go a long way. and also, yes it's not perfect here- but people also cannot be delusional and think that EOS will perfectly solve everything! and more and more i believe we are the ones to create what we want to see here on steemit ;) so let's stay and cultivate THIS garden! hey!

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

Personally I think EOS is a deep state/illuminati scam and although right now that is not a popular opinion on Steemit, it reminds me of last December when after selling Bitcoin for $17 000 I said Bitcoin was going down - hodlers were a bit pissed off at that but they seem quieter now :)

https://steemit.com/life/@newsandviews/cryptocurrency-luciferian-symbolism-part-5-eos-greek-goddess-of-the-dawn-and-harbinger-of-lucifer

In New Zealand we don't have Ebay - we have Trade Me, and anyone who tries to take it on (including Ebay) gets spanked because Trade Me was first. I see EOS/Steemit 2 as the next Gooogle Plus and won't be spending more than a few minutes checking it out if it ever actually happens.

https://www.trademe.co.nz

Beautiful photo and luscious words..