The Steem-Oracle Project: World Cup Prediction Game Update #7 (Part 1)

in steemoracle •  6 years ago  (edited)

Hello Steemians! The final whistle of the England vs Belgium match concluded the group stage of World Cup 2018. In this post, I will be summarizing the performance of Wisdom of Steemians (WoS) so far.

215 Steemians provided a total of 1591 prediction entries over 19 games. In addition, there are several Steemians who stick by the Steem Oracle experiment so far and participated in all 19 games 👍. And they are:

Thanks for the participation once more. Below is a summary of the predictions made so far and the actual results:

MatchesWoS PredictionActual Result
Egypt vs UruguayUruguayUruguay
Portugal vs SpainSpainTie
Croatia vs NigeriaCroatiaCroatia
Brazil vs SwitzerlandBrazilTie
Germany vs MexicoGermanyMexico
Sweden vs KoreaSwedenSweden
Columbia vs JapanColombiaJapan
Portugal vs MoroccoPortugalPortugal
France vs PeruFranceFrance
Argentina vs CroatiaArgentinaCroatia
Serbia vs SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
Belgium vs TunisiaBelgiumBelgium
Poland vs ColombiaColombia/PolandColombia
Uruguay vs RussiaUruguayUruguay
Denmark vs FranceFranceTie
Nigeria vs ArgentinaArgentinaArgentina
Mexico vs SwedenMexicoSweden
Serbia vs BrazilBrazilBrazil
England vs BelgiumBelgiumBelgium

WoS got 12 out of 19 matches correct, which is a 63% accuracy in prediction. Well done! I did further data crunching by doing calculating the weighted prediction for each game based on the Steem Oracle Score of each account. Mostly, the weighted predictions are aligned with the non-weighted ones, except for 2 of the games.

In Portugal vs Spain, the weighted prediction predicted a Portugal win instead of Spain win. And for Poland vs Colombia, the weighted prediction indicated a clear Colombia victory instead of both Poland and Colombia having the same number of votes. I will let this experiment continues till the end to see if a weighted prediction is more accurate than a non-weighted one.

Next, let's take a look at the individual games that were played since the last update.


Uruguay vs Russia

WoS prediction:

  • Uruguay (38.6%)
  • Russia (37.8%)
  • Tie (23.6%)

Actual result: Uruguay won

WoS got it right in this match. Hence, 90% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 10% will flow into the Grand Pool. Well done WoS!

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Uruguay vs Russia. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

VoterSelectionValidityResult
@psi.acastilloTieValid0
@miniminingRussiaValid0
@altafwaniUruguayValid1
@test000thUruguayValid1
@rigorUruguayValid1
@grofRussiaValid0
@anixioTieValid0
@nigerian-yogagalRussiaValid0
@pocketrocketRussiaValid0
@jalaynTieValid0
@steemforezRussiaValid0
@adimantongUruguayValid1
@shifaadiTieValid0
@adiforeverUruguayValid1
@xiow-lochRussiaValid0
@frdem3dot0RussiaValid0
@marco-asensioTieValid0
@ruud-dinnRussiaValid0
@pukoUruguayValid1
@madara-ucihaTieValid0
@jonelescalonaUruguayValid1
@jamalsteemUruguayValid1
@nurulsteemitUruguayValid1
@dindasteemUruguayValid1
@yuniswety4RussiaValid0
@yuniswett454TieValid0
@khairiatiRussiaValid0
@luthUruguayValid1
@vietthuyTieValid0
@dianagomezUruguayValid1
@alpayabotakUruguayValid1
@salsabilaaUruguayValid1
@alpayaTieValid0
@nurfaRussiaValid0
@suqyaUruguayValid1
@paykamRussiaValid0
@syukriiTieValid0
@nuruldindaUruguayValid1
@diendaUruguayValid1
@dindanurulRussiaValid0
@nurrRussiaValid0
@shintaaTieValid0
@nuroelUruguayValid1
@vicspicsRussiaValid0
@dindanurul99TieValid0
@ascheriitUruguayValid1
@dewiiRussiaValid0
@iin.sariRussiaValid0
@rafiqahUruguayValid1
@cut-sariUruguayValid1
@sarimanisUruguayValid1
@cut.khairunnisaTieValid0
@sriwulanUruguayValid1
@ratna.sariRussiaValid0
@dewi.ratnaUruguayValid1
@salwatiTieValid0
@chelseaputriRussiaValid0
@natasha.wilonaUruguayValid1
@sitompulUruguayValid1
@woelanRussiaValid0
@kathechanRussiaValid0
@el-crTieValid0
@danlloydTieValid0
@franknavarroUruguayValid1
@apple96TieValid0
@akbarbadshaRussiaValid0
@rahit47RussiaValid0
@cheekahRussiaValid0
@louzamUruguayValid1
@oclintonTieValid0
@domingoninoRussiaValid0
@andreasgrubhoferUruguayValid1
@yocriticoUruguayValid1
@gandalfthewhiteRussiaValid0
@fjmb86RussiaValid0
@jlordcRussiaValid0
@afiqsejukRussiaValid0
@journeyfreedomRussiaValid0
@vacoUruguayValid1
@fastoldTieValid0
@maltozRussiaValid0
@anyasiemmanuelTieValid0
@ayushsh3ttyRussiaValid0
@omkardivyaRussiaValid0
@akshayaUruguayValid1
@arshithaRussiaValid0
@ashwineUruguayValid1
@pravathiRussiaValid0
@barath15UruguayValid1
@swapnaramRussiaValid0
@srinithiRussiaValid0
@bhavyalakshmanUruguayValid1
@ranjith35RussiaValid0
@boomiUruguayValid1
@pravesh11RussiaValid0
@mallishwariRussiaValid0
@kirankumar1UruguayValid1
@mallika15RussiaValid0
@kumar65UruguayValid1
@vintherinvestTieValid0
@lavanyalakshmanRussiaValid0
@seanytanRussiaValid0
@mrshevTieValid0
@egi-lestariUruguayValid1
@razikatiTieValid0
@annadwahRussiaValid0
@marshandaUruguayValid1
@ratu-elizabethRussiaValid0
@riskamamehRussiaValid0
@carloodTieValid0
@sri.sundariUruguayValid1
@putrideviUruguayValid1
@deviiTieValid0
@intanpermataUruguayValid1
@losblancosRussiaValid0
@egistinaTieValid0
@iamnotvictorRussiaValid0
@hasbydiazTieValid0
@meutuwahUruguayValid1
@cryptobeast7TieValid0
@development21TieValid0
@isabel23011UruguayValid1
@cyberyunusUruguayValid1
@diffuseloopUruguayValid1
@ytmaluUruguayValid1
@davor27TieValid0
@henrry1954NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@maribelquere97NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@manuelruiz21NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@munaaNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@hamsaveniUruguayValid1

Congratulations to all winners and here is the official highlight video from FIFATV:

Denmark vs France

WoS prediction:

  • Denmark (18.3%)
  • France (59.6%)
  • Tie (22.1%)

Actual result: Tie

WoS got it wrong in this match. Hence, 50% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 50% will flow into the Grand Pool.

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Denmark vs France. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

VoterSelectionValidityResult
@psi.acastilloTieValid1
@saravanan58FranceValid0
@vietthuyTieValid1
@rigorFranceValid0
@khairilafdhalFranceValid0
@davor27TieValid1
@ballajm21nt5FranceValid0
@dianagomezFranceValid0
@adimantongFranceValid0
@shifaadiDenmarkValid0
@steemforezTieValid1
@adiforeverDenmarkValid0
@xiow-lochFranceValid0
@marco-asensioTieValid1
@ruud-dinnFranceValid0
@pukoDenmarkValid0
@madara-ucihaTieValid1
@anixioTieValid1
@ascheriitFranceValid0
@grofTieValid1
@dindanurul99FranceValid0
@dewiiFranceValid0
@iin.sariDenmarkValid0
@jonelescalonaFranceValid0
@rafiqahFranceValid0
@cut-sariFranceValid0
@sarimanisTieValid1
@yuniswett454DenmarkValid0
@apple96TieValid1
@khairiatiFranceValid0
@yocriticoFranceValid0
@luthFranceValid0
@gandalfthewhiteFranceValid0
@alpayabotakFranceValid0
@salsabilaaFranceValid0
@nuroelFranceValid0
@shintaaFranceValid0
@nurrFranceValid0
@dindanurulDenmarkValid0
@diendaFranceValid0
@suheriFranceValid0
@nurulsteemitFranceValid0
@dindasteemDenmarkValid0
@yuniswety4FranceValid0
@alpayaFranceValid0
@nurfaTieValid1
@suqyaFranceValid0
@jamalsteemFranceValid0
@paykamDenmarkValid0
@syukriiFranceValid0
@nuruldindaTieValid1
@pocketrocketFranceValid0
@cut.khairunnisaFranceValid0
@sriwulanDenmarkValid0
@ratna.sariTieValid1
@dewi.ratnaFranceValid0
@salwatiFranceValid0
@chelseaputriTieValid1
@natasha.wilonaFranceValid0
@sitompulDenmarkValid0
@woelanFranceValid0
@miniminingFranceValid0
@sri.sundariTieValid1
@putrideviDenmarkValid0
@deviiDenmarkValid0
@intanpermataFranceValid0
@losblancosFranceValid0
@egistinaFranceValid0
@hasbydiazFranceValid0
@egi-lestariDenmarkValid0
@meutuwahFranceValid0
@razikatiDenmarkValid0
@annadwahTieValid1
@marshandaFranceValid0
@ratu-elizabethDenmarkValid0
@riskamamehTieValid1
@shitsignalsFranceValid0
@beckhamkidTieValid1
@jalaynFranceValid0
@nigerian-yogagalFranceValid0
@cheekahFranceValid0
@seanytanFranceValid0
@cryptobeast7FranceValid0
@louzamDenmarkValid0
@domingoninoTieValid1
@vicspicsFranceValid0
@frdem3dot0FranceValid0
@vintherinvestDenmarkValid0
@oclintonFranceValid0
@isabel23011FranceValid0
@jlordcFranceValid0
@cyberyunusFranceValid0
@praz735u5TieValid1
@mrshevTieValid1
@carloodTieValid1
@kathechanFranceValid0
@vacoTieValid1
@maltozFranceValid0
@andreasgrubhoferTieValid1
@diffuseloopDenmarkValid0
@el-crDenmarkValid0
@eduagf1FranceValid0
@myfreebtcFranceValid0
@maxiemoses-euFranceValid0
@ytmaluFranceValid0
@bigticketDenmarkValid0
@fastoldFranceValid0
@biblegatewayNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@ludjiNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@maribelquere97NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@henrry1954NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@manuelruiz21NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@palasateneaNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@development21NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@isabel23011FranceValid0
@yocriticoFranceValid0
@solcrossNilInvalid: Posted after deadline0

Congratulations to all winners and here is the official highlight video from FIFATV:

Nigeria vs Argentina

WoS prediction:

  • Nigeria (30.2%)
  • Argentina (46.2%)
  • Tie (23.6%)

Actual result: Argentina won

WoS got it right in this match. Hence, 90% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 10% will flow into the Grand Pool. Well done WoS!

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Nigeria vs Argentina. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

VoterSelectionValidityResult
@pocketrocketTieValid0
@cheekahNigeriaValid0
@hasbydiazArgentinaValid1
@gandalfthewhiteNigeriaValid0
@psi.acastilloTieValid0
@jalaynArgentinaValid1
@apple96ArgentinaValid1
@seanytanArgentinaValid1
@shitsignalsArgentinaValid1
@anixioArgentinaValid1
@cryptobeast7ArgentinaValid1
@grofArgentinaValid1
@miniminingArgentinaValid1
@ayushsh3ttyNigeriaValid0
@louzamArgentinaValid1
@mrgeeksunitedTieValid0
@domingoninoTieValid0
@vicspicsArgentinaValid1
@test000thArgentinaValid1
@madara-ucihaNigeriaValid0
@pukoArgentinaValid1
@adimantongTieValid0
@shifaadiNigeriaValid0
@steemforezArgentinaValid1
@adiforeverTieValid0
@xiow-lochArgentinaValid1
@marco-asensioNigeriaValid0
@ruud-dinnTieValid0
@development21ArgentinaValid1
@suheriNigeriaValid0
@frdem3dot0ArgentinaValid1
@nigerian-yogagalTieValid0
@vintherinvestArgentinaValid1
@oclintonArgentinaValid1
@jlordcNigeriaValid0
@jonelescalonaNigeriaValid0
@cyberyunusArgentinaValid1
@praz735u5NigeriaValid0
@mrshevArgentinaValid1
@carloodTieValid0
@ascheriitArgentinaValid1
@kathechanArgentinaValid1
@yuniswett454ArgentinaValid1
@vacoArgentinaValid1
@maltozTieValid0
@andreasgrubhoferTieValid0
@diffuseloopArgentinaValid1
@nguyentrungNigeriaValid0
@dianagomezTieValid0
@lantracyArgentinaValid1
@vietthuyArgentinaValid1
@el-crArgentinaValid1
@aauthespian1NigeriaValid0
@nurulsteemitArgentinaValid1
@dindasteemNigeriaValid0
@yuniswety4ArgentinaValid1
@khairiatiNigeriaValid0
@luthArgentinaValid1
@alpayabotakArgentinaValid1
@salsabilaaArgentinaValid1
@alpayaArgentinaValid1
@nurfaTieValid0
@suqyaArgentinaValid1
@jamalsteemNigeriaValid0
@paykamTieValid0
@syukriiNigeriaValid0
@nuruldindaTieValid0
@diendaArgentinaValid1
@dindanurulNigeriaValid0
@nurrNigeriaValid0
@shintaaTieValid0
@nuroelNigeriaValid0
@dindanurul99NigeriaValid0
@dewiiTieValid0
@iin.sariTieValid0
@rafiqahNigeriaValid0
@cut-sariTieValid0
@sarimanisNigeriaValid0
@cut.khairunnisaArgentinaValid1
@sriwulanNigeriaValid0
@ratna.sariArgentinaValid1
@calisayArgentinaValid1
@dewi.ratnaNigeriaValid0
@salwatiTieValid0
@chelseaputriArgentinaValid1
@natasha.wilonaArgentinaValid1
@sitompulNigeriaValid0
@isabel23011ArgentinaValid1
@yocriticoArgentinaValid1
@ytmaluArgentinaValid1
@losblancosNigeriaValid0
@intanpermataTieValid0
@deviiNigeriaValid0
@putrideviNigeriaValid0
@sri.sundariArgentinaValid1
@woelanArgentinaValid1
@egi-lestariTieValid0
@egistinaNigeriaValid0
@meutuwahNigeriaValid0
@razikatiNigeriaValid0
@bigticketArgentinaValid1
@annadwahTieValid0
@marshandaTieValid0
@ratu-elizabethNigeriaValid0
@riskamamehArgentinaValid1
@fastoldTieValid0
@cheetahNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@mysearchisoverNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@maribelquere97NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@henrry1954NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@manuelruiz21NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@solcrossNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0

Congratulations to all winners and here is the official highlight video from FIFATV:

Mexico vs Sweden

WoS prediction:

  • Mexico (55%)
  • Sweden (22%)
  • Tie (23%)

Actual result: Sweden

WoS got it wrong in this match. Hence, 50% of the SBD + STEEM reward of this contest post will be paid out to correct predictors. The remaining 50% will flow into the Grand Pool.

Here are the list of predictions that was received for Mexico vs Sweden. If your result is "1", means you will be receiving the rewards 😃.

VoterSelectionValidityResult
@jonelescalonaMexicoValid0
@jalaynMexicoValid0
@lantracySwedenValid1
@praz735u5MexicoValid0
@franknavarroMexicoValid0
@psi.acastilloTieValid0
@davor27TieValid0
@rigorMexicoValid0
@ehisoriaSwedenValid1
@vietthuySwedenValid1
@ascheriitMexicoValid0
@burlarjSwedenValid1
@anixioTieValid0
@tayorexMexicoValid0
@sauce02TieValid0
@mysearchisoverMexicoValid0
@mrblueberrySwedenValid1
@dammieSwedenValid1
@miniminingMexicoValid0
@hasbydiazSwedenValid1
@gandalfthewhiteMexicoValid0
@fjmb86MexicoValid0
@mrshevTieValid0
@el-crSwedenValid1
@grofMexicoValid0
@tesaganewtonMexicoValid0
@frdem3dot0MexicoValid0
@seanytanMexicoValid0
@vicspicsMexicoValid0
@andreasgrubhoferMexicoValid0
@cryptobeast7SwedenValid1
@suheriMexicoValid0
@nigerian-yogagalMexicoValid0
@development21MexicoValid0
@vintherinvestMexicoValid0
@aauthespian1TieValid0
@nurulsteemitMexicoValid0
@dindasteemMexicoValid0
@yuniswety4MexicoValid0
@yuniswett454MexicoValid0
@khairiatiMexicoValid0
@luthSwedenValid1
@alpayabotakMexicoValid0
@salsabilaaMexicoValid0
@alpayaMexicoValid0
@nurfaSwedenValid1
@maribelquere97MexicoValid0
@suqyaMexicoValid0
@jamalsteemTieValid0
@paykamMexicoValid0
@syukriiMexicoValid0
@nuruldindaMexicoValid0
@diendaSwedenValid1
@dindanurulSwedenValid1
@nurrSwedenValid1
@shintaaTieValid0
@nuroelSwedenValid1
@dindanurul99MexicoValid0
@dewiiMexicoValid0
@iin.sariTieValid0
@rafiqahSwedenValid1
@cut-sariMexicoValid0
@apple96SwedenValid1
@sarimanisTieValid0
@cut.khairunnisaTieValid0
@sriwulanTieValid0
@ratna.sariMexicoValid0
@dewi.ratnaMexicoValid0
@vacoTieValid0
@salwatiSwedenValid1
@chelseaputriMexicoValid0
@natasha.wilonaMexicoValid0
@sitompulSwedenValid1
@jlordcMexicoValid0
@iamnotvictorMexicoValid0
@afiqsejukMexicoValid0
@kathechanMexicoValid0
@maxiemoses-euMexicoValid0
@ytmaluMexicoValid0
@losblancosMexicoValid0
@intanpermataMexicoValid0
@deviiSwedenValid1
@putrideviTieValid0
@sri.sundariTieValid0
@woelanSwedenValid1
@egi-lestariMexicoValid0
@egistinaTieValid0
@meutuwahTieValid0
@razikatiMexicoValid0
@bigticketMexicoValid0
@annadwahTieValid0
@marshandaTieValid0
@ratu-elizabethMexicoValid0
@riskamamehSwedenValid1
@fastoldTieValid0
@isabel23011MexicoValid0
@louzamMexicoValid0
@yocriticoMexicoValid0
@domingoninoTieValid0
@semental.vnzTieValid0
@thegodgalindoMexicoValid0
@carloscr7SwedenValid1
@carloodTieValid0
@oclintonMexicoValid0
@kutraTieValid0
@passatMexicoValid0
@stnrMexicoValid0
@tiktikSwedenValid1
@maltozTieValid0
@biblegatewayNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@johnakhariaNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@henrry1954NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@manuelruiz21NilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0
@solcrossNilInvalid: Unknown entry0
@whitestallionNilInvalid: Did not upvote with enough voting power0

Congratulations to all winners and here is the official highlight video from FIFATV:

While updating on the last 2 matches. I was being thrown an error saying that I have exceeded the maximum length 😅. This update continues here



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Thanks for the participation once more.

Of course, you are welcome bro!

And thx for the overview of all the results till now.

Wow, I definitely predicted the wrong results here. This needs to change (for the better).


While updating on the last 2 matches. I was being thrown an error saying that I have exceeded the maximum length 😅. This update continues here

Haha, that is way too funny - well done.

nice competition although i lose in 2 but i enjoy it lets see what happened in next games