Results from Hillary vs Trump SteemSports Prediction Game

in steemsports •  8 years ago 

General Info

Bets
Total: 123, Qualified: 114, Refunds: 9

Rewards Pool
SBD: $1526.34, STEEM: 1742.13

Financials

{'losers': {'SBD': 1315.648, 'STEEM': 1047.8319999999999},
 'qualified': {'SBD': 1525.0919999999999, 'STEEM': 1507.0729999999996},
 'refunds': {'SBD': 1.248, 'STEEM': 235.063},
 'winners': {'SBD': 209.44400000000002, 'STEEM': 459.241}}

Cutoff Time
Nov. 8th 2016, 6PM UTC
All payments after the cutoff time will be automatically refunded (see refunds below).

Original Game

https://steemit.com/steemsports-livebet/@steemsports/steemsports-first-live-bet-game-2016-us-presidential-election-results-prediction-game

Results

Top Winner
Our top winner is @jimmco, who has turned a $100 SBD bet into $728 SBD win. Congratulations.

Winners

UserAmountCurrencyMemo
bola16.408STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 3fb093862c073746c9e9d9db15108ec321774e57
majes0.496STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: f8859b8db5678f5c0dd5e3499c5453f8e1843eea
jdbry1.109STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 4946c7377fbf96e4fb488ede7a2af66db6d3d42e
idnit0.036STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: e1a2229920a718c48adc09bcb189cd4ac640de2b
theprophet036.408SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: f2ffc9fcf8d126ae1268ef8cd7a96d5551124c86
theprophet0.361STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 4a5055f714f8f3f0b792f9f5c1f19dd3d8eaba0a
theprophet4.311SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 1f59f059d48a3a8ecf5483f30cc5d2674b4d9682
jimmco728.162SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: c7aae9db61a320c2a8e7af16595c5b17c5f990a0
tygergamer164.083STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: e378ff2c97dce8727562e7d424997c61f055b872
craig-grant21.561SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 20266cf7c1f2d77690fcc286a3dd9139ec33e8ca
christoph329.126SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 56ace1a763eaad9464990377f999e67d314ca770
proctologic73.996SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: d5951404655de18c664dea483725df0f1f829003
fyrstikken36.408SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: cf5dcf7d2fefaa3dee21e3d77288ccb0044a7f90
fyrstikken36.408SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: b3a177eb17797b5ba833905288ae177c8b4c4b3b
elyaque0.845SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: af4d51ec3c29d988a2dd5f2dbc42cabab232d9e5
garvofe164.083STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: edde331402e76d401fb494705927321b8a89c03b
joshbreslauer10.689SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 02fc6a29eddabee05a4245111dc11802d8e6d0aa
me-tarzan65.633STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: b37c0bd7ae4bd403a2f1f0e76a340eda61f15acd
dahaz15936.408SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 0250117de83e7ef08d28772df797d1a171d90287
capper2016328.166STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 8e3d939019acf823b59fa12236ef7aed4075ceec
furion65.535SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 92fc400f0a31f91eaa596a7d309db57b8e052e2d
hustle-no-more13.215STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 7429e672de8e83f062e4c38f1fe3d82322880d25
mrlogic0.087SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: d9403c86142a15be2c7f383d048cb12f0b82201a
alterego0.058SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 1309173d8020e6fc27024d61e2911c06f3defdf5
kodi123.212SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: da13a2428c575aeebb422b23241b3fb954f6adf6
onetree14.563SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: b66cf9fc7c739d23b21134b6ee6e1de4ebcce7d5
desphouswife32.817STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 731371c5778d87ea36d1eb6aacbf7f8b7957c8bd
stevescoins0.003STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 60f4f330ffc6c177091e6f293d3ee9fb0f29fd13
meesterboom32.817STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 09ca0176a5db2ab9987598a6025512f13ef1686d
gomeravibz7.282SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 88d638d8c3ab0b9740327a4971a8b5e7941f6246
cryptoctopus70.523SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 8b914c3151d7332e0e3a90688b5e3e8cff827c5c
keepdoodling2.184SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: cd1bd440e43651cb42f15d8b807179a545bccfb0
alexgr1.595SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 7de31f1e701c51ebfde97fd8652b6e47b406de94
expanse6.563STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 754416d4ae69fa03ec4390967b87bb79764ddd3a
expanse7.282SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: 5cce1a38a0f8c9cd8d1101cc9a9d4d603521dd6d
kurtbeil0.007STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 23d28a1b98bea491920bc7e3655c273a4649375d
steembriefing0.007STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: c8062acda17fd521139abb1b84ce0029216f830a
proctologic173.603STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 2f96021a0311a44dbc213b85e608b43fd48686c0
fnait218.449SBDWinning: Trump - trx_id: a92901f8fba1c27ffb17c6e2f5b389e715875975
gerdle0.098STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 6d4942297a3b0638bc94dc988f8f3af2c791d46e
theprophet0164.083STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 426e637e191c2cd9229c0c98f4c448fd3a2ef80b
jamtaylor328.166STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: bb328b29f2a85aee0e48918d7ccf83bdedef9515
imag1ne15.319STEEMWinning: Trump - trx_id: 5a292011476f6e98fb67258b38164555d70425dc

Refunds

UserAmountCurrencyMemo
inertia0.01STEEMRefund - trx_id: 3110b2477e889211094f441e4b52f2c17071c519
sponge-bob20.0STEEMRefund - trx_id: eed46fca6e017db808c2927c57a61066d794f95a
brains30.0STEEMRefund - trx_id: 10af77ba66d92d7452161705068c1a72791f0eaa
nippel6620.989STEEMRefund - trx_id: 7df0ff7d489b30ef510658969b39802e3c5b9551
bledarus6.5STEEMRefund - trx_id: a870c201dacda2f04710413a03d2a3782e6f4a2e
craig-grant18.848STEEMRefund - trx_id: 59d4361d3c6b5f1aa43bd96b31d28e6ec5d24f49
proctologic8.716STEEMRefund - trx_id: 7089d7f457770dc48cd49c244514466bdb013e2b
overloaded130.0STEEMRefund - trx_id: eaff2aa666246e42ee148769be9c120db3539e1e
good-karma1.248SBDRefund - trx_id: 659ce971bd6957f840eaeac0f938596740d52069

Memo Analysis

def analyze_memos(transfers):
    memos = [x['op']['memo'].lower() for x in transfers]
    c = Counter(memos)
    pprint(c.most_common(100))

A quick look at memos tells me that sorting the payouts won't be a problem. With a few exceptions such as frank underwood - which will be refunded - all memos are easy to parse using regular expressions.

[('clinton', 53),
 ('trump', 47),
 ('other', 10),
 ('other (for presidential outcome)', 1),
 ('hillary,  hopefully, she is corrupt and mean, but not a neo-nazi.', 1),
 ('clinton ftw!!!', 1),
 ('donald trump', 1),
 ('hillary', 1),
 ('hillary - decided 2007 - confirmed in pseudovote 2016', 1),
 ('bet on clinton for win', 1),
 ('frank underwood', 1),
 ('donald j trump', 1),
 ('trump to win )', 1),
 ('clinton ', 1),
 ('clinton for the win!', 1),
 ('hillary clinton', 1)]

Payouts

Thanks to the STEEM chain, the game is provably fair, and easy to verify. If there are no objections in the next 6 hours, the payouts will be made later today.

Thanks to everyone for playing, and congratulations to all the winners.



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Winnings received, Excellent System. Thanks for running the contest, and congratulations to all Trump Winners (7x return OP).

cant wait for a real prediction market platform on Steem :D
would be awesome. I feel like we re pretty close to do it considering your awesome work @furion ! love it

Its coming...

mycket bra arbete

Some of us are 'lucky' not to be in US...

Geil-O-Mat!

More bets like this please. This is simply the shit!

Yeah, why not, lol! :)

And I had bet on Hillary like a donkey.

thanks Rick, much appreciated!

Well, I'm happy to have won something out of this — and a little uneasy at the same time :)

Hi @jamtaylor, why are you uneasy?

Nervous about how a Trump presidency is going to play out.

Oh yeah I feel you on that!

No refund reieved yet.

Read the post it said refunds and payouts will be made in six hours means there is still an hour before they're clearly disclosed timeframe. Calm down.

Thanks for keeping the peace @quinneaker :) all will be good soon.

Wow. What a bad first experience with steemsports. They didn't take my bet - then I don't get a refund either.

If you want my money ok - that 20 was for my next give-away.
Tell me the six-hour thing again.

I have nothing yet either. You would think that they would resolve things rather than have an entire discussion where the six hour claim was proven wrong.

I voted for Trump, and I won. So I do have incentives to get paid as soon as possible. This 6 hour window does not exist to piss people off...its an opportunity to get more eyeballs and ensure correctness of results. The payout system is being used for the first time, and we better be safe than sorry.

It's 7 hours now. I was around when BitInstant had difficulties with their payment system. Not answering people causes this kind of thread. It seems that all the sports betting works just fine though I have never tried it. Again, this was my first time sending any money out to steemsports.

I do appreciate your concerns, and I acknowledge they are completely valid.
I would rather see payments delayed, and triple check everything, and run a simulation one more time, than be on time - but wrong.

The transaction id things made it seem like it had been sent or something. I deal with so many cryptos - they all melt together now. I suppose it's a transaction number from the bet bot?

All done now. I have not unfollowed - and I never flag. All in all, a good post. You put time into it. There are all blue arrows when I look at your profile so you keep winning my votes. Thanks!

Hi @sponge-bob sorry about your experience. I'm not sure if we were clear enough above that payout will happen after 6 hours, next time we will try to be more clear.

Still no refund. (I would have rather had winnings).

Has anyone been paid yet?

Payout only activates after 6 hours, to give people time comment in case any errors are spotted.

Very professionally done @furion good work!

Good work on this @furion! ;)

The job well done by the @steemsports team. This game went from idea to execution within 24 hours :)

How was the experience? Maybe you guys have in mind building betting site/app on top of Steem...

Yes, thats in progress :)

Cool! ;)

Frank Underwood, 2020!!

  ·  8 years ago (edited)Reveal Comment

I lost $15 and I don't even care, this is awesome! When can we expect more?

  ·  8 years ago (edited)

I'm glad you like it. Will have another game next week :)

I don't understand the odds yet. For SBD was 7.28 for Trump and for Steem was 3.28 ?

Less Steem was paid in, they are separate pools.

ok, i get it, thanks. reward already received :)

  ·  8 years ago (edited)

If 100 people voted $1 for Trump, and 100 people voted $1 for Hillary, both sides would have $100 worth of bids, and your risk/reward would be 1:1, meaning you could only double or nothing.

If the sides are uneven however, the risk/reward shifts. If you have $700 in votes for Hillary, and $100 for Trump, then a vote for trump will yield 7:1, netting a nice gain. A vote for Hillary would only yield money back + a small piece of $100. (assuming you win in both cases, if you lose, you get $0).

STEEM and SBD are different currencies, so they have their own pools.

A shame that I didn't have SBD to bet. Thanks.

Shared on twitter

Steem_Land Steemland.com tweeted @ 09 Nov 2016 - 21:20 UTC

Results from Hillary vs Trump SteemSports Prediction Game — Steemit

steemit.com/steemsports/@f… / https://t.co/aCYLdomwd7

@SteemUps @SteemitPosts @steemit @steemiobot

Disclaimer: I am just a bot trying to be helpful.

Been paid back for my bet. I waited an hour before my first complaint. Then they said "no 6 hours"
It took 7 hours. At least I can close these tabs now!!

  ·  8 years ago (edited)

I don't want to be that guy, but, if you read the post again, carefully, you will see there was no 6 hours claim made anywhere. 'Sometime later today', after 6 hour window, does not mean 6 hours to the point from now. It means 'sometime later today'.

Brains, also please remember we just ran our first Beta or even Alpha of live bets, and it worked perfectly! Only the payment took a few hours which is quite reasonable.

This post has been linked to from another place on Steem.

Learn more about and upvote to support linkback bot v0.5. Flag this comment if you don't want the bot to continue posting linkbacks for your posts.

Built by @ontofractal

  ·  8 years ago (edited)

This is brilliant work... @furion and @steemsports

Thanks my friend!! Looking forward to your project ;)

A well run game. and I'm not just saying that because I won. The blockchain has proven it's worth again!

Why do i get refound? I bet for Trump and trump won

Ahh, i see :-) tnx

thanks for clarifying!

Our top winner is @jimmco, who has turned a $100 SBD bet into $728 SBD win. Congratulations.

Wow...nice one. Congratulations!
Good job @steemsports & @furion !

Thank you. And also many thanks to @steemsports and @furion for organizing this game.

This post has been ranked within the top 10 most undervalued posts in the first half of Nov 09. We estimate that this post is undervalued by $13.50 as compared to a scenario in which every voter had an equal say.

See the full rankings and details in The Daily Tribune: Nov 09 - Part I. You can also read about some of our methodology, data analysis and technical details in our initial post.

If you are the author and would prefer not to receive these comments, simply reply "Stop" to this comment.

Why DID I GET REFUNDED ????

I think either you put in a memo with a different word or you sent it after cutoff time. @furion will know better, he may post a reply here soon.

You have placed your bet after the game has already closed. The game closed before election results from votes started coming out, so that the game is fair for everyone.

Fuck Yea B)