SPY Kinematic Outlook- Fr23 Close March 2018

in stocks •  7 years ago  (edited)

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Graphs= SPY Fr23 Close
Post Time= Su25 4:26 PM
UFOtext=
📈SPY=258.05 (-5.62) Fr23 close.
SPY closing path in 3 day downtrend from minuscule exact high on Tu20 inside MonTuWed downtrend cluster pause.
SPY kinematic snapshots* show possible kinematic lows forming across the frequency spectrum. 34 dma kinematic shows a possible imminent low.

*(Snapshots = Real time approximate kinematics)
x dma:
5: Deep kinematic downtrend from Tu20 high inside downtrend cluster pause exactly mirrors closing path. Possible kinematic low starts to form.
8: Long kinematic downtrend forming possible low soon.
13: Deep kinematic downtrend from Tu20 zig zag high starts to form possible low.
21: Long kinematic downtrend from extreme double symmetric peak pattern starts to form possible low.
34: Deep kinematic downtrend from Tu20 high inside downtrend cluster pause exactly mirrors closing path. Imminent kinematic low possible.

🌳-Linear- Future Possibility Tree
(Test paths explore 6 days into the future.)

The linear future possibility tree only shows kinematically realistic nontrivial (nonzero) future linear paths exist on or below the crash threshold.

+1/day Branch:
The +1/day positive test branch shows possible major kinematic lows forming, but not precisely focused on 1 day.
x dma:
5: Major Fr23 kinematic low.
8: Major Fr23 kinematic low.
13: Major Wed28 kinematic low.
21: Major Tu27 kinematic low.
34: Deep major Th22 kinematic low. Potential kinematic timing error.

Zero/day Branch:
The unbiased zero test branch shows possible major kinematic lows forming, but not precisely focused on 1 day.
x dma:
5: Major Fr23Mon26 kinematic cluster low.
8: Major Fr23Mon26 kinematic cluster low.
13: WedTh cluster low (possible major low).
21: Deep Tu27 kinematic low.
34: Deep major Th22 kinematic low. Potential kinematic timing error.

-1/day Branch:
The -1/day negative test branch shows possible major kinematic lows forming, but not precisely focused on 1 day.
x dma:
5: Major Mon26Tu27 cluster low.
8: Major extended cluster low over next week.
13: Major possible cluster low starting next Th29.
21: Major Tu27Wed28 cluster low.
34: Deep major Th22 kinematic low. Potential kinematic timing error.

~-5.0/day "Crash" Threshold Branch:
The only nontrivial kinematically realistic linear future path.
x dma:
5: Major possible cluster low starts on Wed28.
8: Free fall.
13: Free fall.
21: Free fall.
34: Free fall from downtrend pause cluster. Thus, no kinematic timing errors.

🌳~Nonlinear~ Future Possibility Tree
☑️The kinematic snapshots + linear possibility tree show major kinematic lows forming, but problematically, not all focused on one particular day. That implies a complicated &or high speed nonlinear future path in closing price, or else a trivial future path that fluctuates around zero change. Furthermore, the 34 dma kinematic tends to form its major kinematic low on Th22- only a deep dive on Mon26 prevents that low from forming. Kinematic timing errors do occur now & then, but if kinematics keeps good timing now, any realistic future closing path must start with a deep dive on Mon26. The linear threshold is ~-5/day set by the 34 dma kinematic.

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Hey @ufotext, great post! I enjoyed your content. Keep up the good work! It's always nice to see good content here on Steemit! Cheers :)

Thx, I will try to post more often the kinematic outlook. I note you chart some major cryptos- could you cover Stellar XLM? XLM has a parallel channel on the log price scale.