In the latest Redfield and Wilton poll, they've dropped back:
Westminster Voting Intention (19 May):
Labour 45% (+3)
Conservative 23% (+2)
Reform UK 12% (-3)
Lib Dem 10% (-2)
Green 5% (-1)
SNP 2% (-1)
Other 1% (–)
Changes +/- 12 May
Here is how it's changed over time:
For the Tories to achieve a hung parliament, they need to squeeze the Reform vote to poll in the mid 30's. And they need Labour to be below 40%.
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