There has been a lot of chatter about Reform UK, with some polls showing them at 10%.
But they performed poorly in the council elections in May, gaining 8 seats out of the 8,317 contested.
Here is the percentage vote in recent parliamentary by-elections:
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Reform did well last night in the Bristol and Wellingborough by-elections, making the difference in the Bristol seat. It looks like they could make a difference if they actually run against the Tories.
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