Allan Lichtman has accurately forecast significant US polling battles, ranging from Ronald Reagan's reelection victory in the midst of an economic recession to Bill Clinton's victory over George HW Bush.
Right now, Allan Lichtman prefers Democratic US Vice President Kamala Harris to her Republican opponent, Donald Trump. He expressed his opinion to News Nation, saying that "a lot would have to go wrong for Harris to lose.
Allan Lichtman, who is referred regarded as the "Nostradamus of US presidential elections," bases his predictions on his "13 keys to the White House."
" Democrats now possess six of the 13 keys, he predicted, with Harris the most likely nominee following Joe Biden's withdrawal from the reelection contest.
A main competition, a short- and long-term economy, policy changes, the absence of controversy, and the charisma of a challenger are some of these.
By going with Harris, he told News Nation, "Right now, Democrats have lost three keys".
He claimed that the Democrats' significant defeat in the 2022 midterm elections cost them the "party mandate" essential. He added that Harris no longer had the "incumbency" and "charisma" keys.
However, in order for him to forecast a Harris defeat, Democrats would need to lose three additional seats according to his prediction model. However, he says that is unlikely to occur.
He has stated that following the Democratic convention in August, he will release his formal forecast for the 2024 presidential contest.
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