Steem Power delegations sale (BlockTrades) - What are people doing with their SP? - AnalysissteemCreated with Sketch.

in utopian-io •  7 years ago  (edited)

Introduction

BlockTrades made Steem Power delegations available again four days ago but already temporarily sold out after 1 day. This high demand occurred even though the price was really high in comparison to pervious sales. I myself bought a little bit for 50€ because I was curious.
However, what are other users doing with their new Steem Power and how much did they spend?

Scope of Analysis

The data doesn't include all delegations from the beginning of the sale and so only covers the 12th-14th February. (2018-02-12T14:50:12 - 2018-02-14T16:04:33)

Data collected:
  • User names
  • Amount of Steem Power bought
  • Amount of Money spend
  • Downvotes, Upvotes and Self-Upvotes
  • Timestamps

Tools

I used Python in combination with the Steemit-Python API. To know what to look for I used steemd.com. At steemd.com you can directly see how a transaction looks like on the Steem Blockchain.

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1) Setup & Save

This tells me I need to look out for a transaction with the operation: "delegate_vesting_shares" So you just need to get the "account history" of BlockTrades and then look over every entry.

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I decided to collect the data points featured above and made a list for every one.

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To save this data as a .csv first I imported the library pandas, created a dictionary containing the previous created lists, made a Dataframe out of this dictionary and finally saved it as a .csv .

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2) Data Collection
a)

To collect the names and the timestamp, I simply added these values to the lists.
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But to get the amount of Steem Power I needed to convert Vests to Steem Power and split the value from the string first.
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For the price I visited BlockTrades.us and took the current ETH/SP Del Price (1841.635SP/ETH) + recent ETH price in $ (885.15).

price paid = (amount SP / SP/ETH )* ETH $ price

b)

In order to get more information what the people are doing with their Steem Power I looked at everyones "voting history".

( This is not really efficient because all votes a user ever did need to get processed and looked at. However, I didn't knew any other simple methods so I went for it. )

Because we only want votes after the users bought SP, we need to check if the time of this vote is above our starting time first.

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  • To check if a vote is a downvote we need to check if it had a negeative percent/ voting power
  • To check if a vote is a self upvote we need to check if the upvoted post/comment belongs to the user himself --> else: normal upvote
  • To get the number of different users upvoted we add every new user who got upvoted to a list and return the length at the end

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Finally we just need to append this data to the respectable lists again.

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Results

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chart (1).png

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chart (2).png

What can we see?
  • over 250+ users purchased SP Delegations spending 332,915.062$ for a total of over 692,660 SP
  • even thought the average money spent is 1251.56$ most people didn't spend over 100$ --> median: 72.33$
  • the average user used 9% of his 45 upvotes to upvote himself (median value)
  • 4 WHALES (rich people) bought Steem Power Delegations with the highest order being over 47 000$
  • only few ( 1-2 user) abused the system by using SP for downvoting
  • 1 user abused the system by upvoting his own posts/comments 89 times in a time span of 2 days!
  • 14 bots used the SP for upvoting other posts --> paid bots

image.png

I got the last two assumptions by comparing these 3 graphs with each other. Every graph has a different scale but you can see that accounts that upvote a lot of posts often also upvote a lot of different users. This is a sign for a bot who is paid to upvote. You can also spot accounts who only upvote themselves by simply looking at the number of different people they upvoted and their self upvotes.

One problem I noticed was some values being the same / at the same level. This either means that the person purchased SP multiple times or someone is running multiple bots who upvote the same people / the same amount of people. Furthermore, the ETH price was lower a few days ago,

Let me now if you find some thing interesting or got problems executing the code! :)

CSV + Code (Github)



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  ·  7 years ago (edited)

Your contribution cannot be approved because it is not as informative as other contributions. See the Utopian Rules. Contributions need to be informative and descriptive in order to help readers and developers understand them.

Hi @wil1liam, great to see a new contributor in the analysis section! You've probably spent quite a lot of time to get this data, but it seems you haven't come across the right tools yet.

The first part of your contribution starts in a tutorial-style how you got the data, but the actual analysis part is a bit on the short side. The time range of your data is very short, but that's probably also due to your choice of tools. Delegations are typically given for a couple of weeks. If the delegation was not paid from a steem account you cannot guess this duration. If it was payed from a steem account you would have to query the transaction history of the user to make an educated guess. This means you typically can't tell how much USD or STEEM was actually spent. It is not really clear from the text what is shown on your graphs x-axis. Is it one "dot" per delegation-operation or per user? A histogram of the delegation amounts would have told much more than one stick per delegation. The hand-written comments are barely explained and I'm not sure there is much you can conclude from it. The downvote chart has a different x=scale than the others, so there is not really a connection visible. By the way, down-voting is not automatically "abusing" the system, often it's quite the opposite. Self-voting 98 times most probably is, however :) You may want to consider reporting this user to steemcleaners. It is also quite common for bots to lease SP and the according accounts typically make no secret about the fact that it is a bot or is receiving SP delegations.

Here are a few tips/remarks on your choice of tools:

  • checkout steemdata.com's MongoDB instance, getting this kind of data via steem-python is a pain.
  • you were using get_account_history() - use the filter_by parameter. With filter_by=['delegate_vesting_shares'] you would have received already a pre-parsed stream of only delegation operations.

PS: don't use the 100% power-up payout option at the moment. Chose 50/50 SBD/SP. By exchanging the SBD author rewards to steem on the market after payout you get much more SP than with the 100% power-up - see here.

You can contact us on Discord.
[utopian-moderator]

thanks for taking time to write this feedback!

Hey @crokkon, I just gave you a tip for your hard work on moderation. Upvote this comment to support the utopian moderators and increase your future rewards!

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

I don't know if it is my computer, I'm currently on a different one, but your link to your github account is not working.

No biggie, you posted it before, I just thought to let you know anyway :-)

oh you're right... thanks for pointing it out! fixed it :)

Smart analisis, i like it, i follow you @wil1liam

smart comment... but you won't get a upvote from me. sry bro

sangat bermamfaat

You got a 4.76% upvote from @whalebuilder courtesy of @wil1liam. Join @whalebuilder family at our Discord Channel. Don't let your precious stake(SP) go stale...Make it do more so you have to do less. Deligate it to @whalebuilder by clicking on one of the ready to delegate links: 50SP | 100SP | 250SP | 500SP | 1000SP | 5000SP | custom amount.

This post has received a 7.69 % upvote from @sleeplesswhale thanks to: @wil1liam.