Indicating of eco shift
Typical cycle last 6-7 years
We’re 10 years until this cycle
Economic data that has predictive value
- unemployment number 4-5% when it goes below 4% or over 5% there’s an indicator that inflation or deflation will accrue
(Yield curve )
Charts of Bond interest rates
Example
shorter term bonds more interest than or equal to longer term bonds
Buffet indicator
Look at totally value of all stocks in stock market (market cap )
Compare to the gross domestic product total output of our entire economy
Market cap divided by gross domestic product
And you get a percentage
If it’s between 80-90%
Under 80 undervalued over 90 over valued
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