I wouldn't consider myself a wise investor, but I think it's pretty clear the establishment wants Clinton and that it's going to be tough for her to get elected if the market goes to hell (since it won't be able to be used as shorthand for pretending the economy hasn't gone to hell).
So my guess is no raised interest rates or big downshifts in the market till the election. After that, all bets are off.
I also feel that the Fed would not want to raise rates before the election. Yellen isn't going to want to go down in history as the person that unsettled the market before an election. The real question is, what happens after that?
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