The current market focus is on the Federal Reserve's attitude towards inflation, and there is increasing pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates. While it is certain that there will be rate cuts this year, the key question is when they will begin, and it is likely to be a lengthy process. During the rate-cutting cycle, Bitcoin may experience periodic increases, with expectations for the rate cuts to commence around June 2024.
The upcoming presidential election at the end of 2024 will also impact economic policies, with different presidents implementing slightly different approaches. Trump's administration has previously adopted expansive fiscal policies to stimulate the economy, such as significant reductions in corporate income taxes and financial tax reforms. Biden's administration, while also supporting funding for infrastructure, energy, and healthcare, has been generally more conservative. It is anticipated that if Trump is re-elected, the bull market for cryptocurrencies will accelerate.
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Furthermore, the maturity of cryptocurrency regulatory systems is expected to improve. In the first half of 2023, regional cryptocurrency regulatory policies were established in the United States, Europe, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Japan and South Korea. With stricter regulations, mature laws, and increased transparency in trading, cryptocurrencies may gradually shed negative labels such as "insecure" and "money laundering tools," attracting greater confidence from large financial institutions and more substantial capital inflows.
The cryptocurrency market is expected to lead the investment market trend, and Bitcoin is poised for rapid growth.
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