Bitcoin above 10k within 9 trading days, or it creates new yearly lows

in bitcoin •  7 years ago 

Time to jump into the Gann analysis that is based on time cycles. I always like to quote what the man himself said, "Time is the most important factor in determining market movements..." The full quote is, "Time is the most important factor in determining market movements because the future is a repetition of the past and each market movement is working out time in relation to some previous cycle." - WD Gann

I really want you to think about that: the future is a repetition of the past.

Gann was adamant that there is nothing new in the markets. In fact, the fact (pun intended) that so many market masters of the past and present all say some variant of 'there is nothing new on the market' is not a coincidence. Whether the conclusion of that hypothesis is related to scientifical observation or just observed repetition, it seems to come to the same supposed conclusion: markets repeat themselves and there is nothing new. Gann's approach and conclusion were based on his faith and beliefs. He frequently cited Ecclesiastes 1:9

What has been will be again,

what has been done will be done again;

there is nothing new under the sun.

And so that brings us to our current analysis, which is a very simple one based solely on time.

Reasons for the forecast are very simple:

May 11th – Pivot in time in the Law of Vibration, prior history of this pivot reveals strong probabilities of up moves when coming from a consolidative range following a bear move.

144-day cycle – May 11th’s time pivot is 144 days from the all-time high, 144-day cycle extremely significant in Gann’s work, expect major changes and swift moves.

90-day cycle – May 11th’s time pivot is 93 days from the most recent swing low, 90-day cycle triggers changes.

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I think both can not happen within 9 days.

Thats pretty interesting mate.
Would you mind doing one on both Steem and SBD? If you do please tag me in it, I'm very interested to see what it says.

Does it say anything on the expected size of changes to come?

we should expect a very similar move to what was done on the first pivot (February 4th): small drive down followed by a rise. Generally, the rise off the second pivot will be of equal strength (in percentage move) to the first pivot, which was a 100% move.

Interesting view, I think the big players dont appear to be letting price take off quite yet.

Bitcoin above 10k within 9 days seems impossible.

Given how volatile the price action has been and the major announcements about South Korea and Gox, I think we will see both.

Interesting. May 11th was the recent swing low. I have never studied Gann but time analysis would be very beneficial to my analysis.

BTW, the book The 4th Turning talks about how history repeats every 4 generations (about the lifespan of a human) and we repeat the same cycle of crises and resolution.

Modern thinkers tend to think of history as a straight line but the traditional thinkers in the past realized it is cyclical.