Great post @ka82, I saw your response to @craig-grant in the other thread about this article of yours.
Your analysis makes sense to me. My main concern however is whether or not the average interest rates that BCC provides are sustainable over the long term (assuming that BCC token value stays the same).
I'll give you a vote with 100% of my voting power if you write an article with some statistics which prove how BCC could be sustainable long term and tip you 2 Steem too if it's REALLY good ;)
Steem on @ka82!
Thanks for your feedback...I was actually thinking about it and IMO bitconnect rates seems to correlate with 2 factors: Bitcoin price volatility, and number of people investing in it.
Since BTC volatility has been/is decreasing over time as a result bitconnect rate will also decrease over time. In terms of number of people who join this investment, I believe there's negative parabolic behavior between BCC rate and number of people investing. Not sure if we have reached the peak of it (or when we reach) but in the long run both factors contribute to a smaller & smaller rate of return from BCC (one linearly and one exponentially).
Having said all this, I will do more research on it and will let you know :)
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That's a great conclusion and I'd be curious to read that blog post. Let me rephrase my question:
Can BCC maintain their current interest rate assuming that following variables remain unchanged:
BTC price volatility
BCC token price
Furthermore, how necessary is it for BCC to continue getting more people to buy the tokens in order for them to guarantee an interest rate. Note that if the variable of people buying BCC is very highly correlated to the rate of interest they can provide their users, this will likely be a long term scam (i.e. you could make money within 3-6 months but might lose it all in 9 months).
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Short answer to your first question: Yes, if we assume the 2 variables remain the same.
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I'm doubtful and will not invest money there until I see someone who can make a solid case that it is indeed sustainable over the long term. I spent about an hour reading through Reddit/FB/Steemit content regarding how legit BCC was, and most say the same thing - might work not but long term it's not remotely sustainable unless more and more money is continually pumping into BCC token, making the whole thing one huge ponzi scheme.
I may be wrong, but I'll have to be proven wrong until I change my mind about that.
Either way I hope for you that I'm wrong and that you make a bunch of money staking your crypto there for interest.
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Yea I totally understand. I won't want to invest in something unsustainable.
I'm thinking out loud but think about the paper money we use. It's a "claim on wealth" which you don't have. The only wealth people have is the "goods" they have in their possessions. Now think about the BCC. BCC is a receipt you're given in exchange for your BTC. The difference between paper money and BCC is that BCC is capped at 28M coins while paper money is unlimited!
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Exactly, the same algorithm should be easily applied to other crypto-currencies.
That's precisely what it came to my mind the first time came across Bitconnect. I think it basically steal the value of paper money and adds it to Bitcoin and other crypos.
My main concern is more of this (https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@ka82/can-anyone-share-his-her-thoughts-on-this) than what you raised above. But I think the whole purpose of cryptos is to engage everyone rather than make things exclusive for only a privileged few.
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Your concern seems unreasonable. You are asking for a predictive model of bitcoin's volatility because it sustainability relies on the volatility of bitcoin. If you believe Bitcoin to be here to stay and that its price action will swing based on increasing/decreasing demand, then that alone should be proof enough on BCC sustainability.
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