Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 6. Feb 18

in cryptocurrency •  7 years ago 

Regular daily update on BTC ta analysts opinions.

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Own comment:

  • Today I am able to make the post on time. For the next week I am traveling (on a ship with my son) so timing of the summary will be difficult - most likely I will do the updates in the evening. It might be that I need to skip one but I try not to.
  • I thought I don't need the "Bloodbath" picture anymore - but here it is. I have to say I get really worried and was yesterday evening and today in the morning like a dog got hit by a bullet ... I am really wondering if we enter a longer term bear market beside what our analysts say. My highlight is @lordoftruth who turned neutral / bullish seeing the bottom is in now.

Analysts key statements:

  • Tone: Weekly is strong bearish for 4 more weeks. If we close below 4'100 before we get a "9" (in 4 weeks) than it get even more ugly. The daily gives another bearish day and for tomorrow a possible reversal. The only strong resistance now left is around 1'250 - 1'350 what he is not hoping for. A certain resistance is at 5'000-5'500.
  • @haejin: Was looking for a bottom at 7'000 (my comment: didn't hold already). Now BTC broke to the downside and is outside bollinger bands approaching 3 std deviation - that is not sustainable - mean reversion expected.
  • @ew-and-patterns: no update today
    He sees either a bounce towards 10k and than go down to 5'800 or we go directly to 5'800. Reaching that we have to verify if that is the bottom or if we even go lower to 4'800.
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  • @lordoftruth: He made some pretty good calls I have to say. Now he sees the bottom is in at 6'000 and starts to look bullish for February. He calls for 8'600 until mid of February.
  • @philakonecrypto: He was very active on twitter trying to give permanent guidance for day trading and to ease the pain. (Thank you for that!) He now takes a sleep I guess and I couldn't find clear statements on the mid-term goals or the question of where is the bottom. But if you like he has a summary of the play he did (link in reference table).

Overall sentiment:bloodbath
(last: bearish)
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Reference table

analystlatest content datelink to content for details
Tone Vays6. Febhere
@haejin6. Febhere
@ew-and-patterns5. Febhere
@lordoftruth6. Febhere
@philakonecrypto6. Febhere

Definition

  • light blue highlighted = all content that changed since last update.
  • sentiment = how in general the analysts see the current situation (bearish = lower prices more likely / bullish = higher prices more likely)
  • target 1 = the next price target an analysts mentions
  • bottom = price target analyst mentions as bottom
    Both target are probably short term (so next few days/weeks)
  • lower/upper barrier = Most significant barriers mentioned by the analysts. If those are breached a significant move to the upside or downside is expected. It does not mean necessary that the sentiment will change due to that (e.g. if upper resistance is breached it does not mean that we automatically turn bullish).

If you like me to add other analysts or add information please let me know in the comments.

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Thanks mate for your hard work..
Enjoy your travel with your son..

By the way:
No Bloodbath..
Based on the cycles, there are a big chances to see bitcoin price at 14-15k ( 83-90 days is needed from now ) and 25k by the end of 2018 !

I will come up a.s.a.p with more info and charts about this ( need few days )..

Thanks for great support..
Have a great day..

According to the firm Autonomous Next, the number of hedge funds investing in digital assets like Bitcoin has grown rapidly to more than 100. Since the launch of Bitcoin Futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in December 2017, it shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone why the price of Bitcoin is down 50% from the high.

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Only Retail Investors chase price and buy high and sell low, while the Professionals buy low and sell high. The Hedge Funds have purposely sold Bitcoin futures to get in a better price.

At the moment, there is a war taking place between the buyers (Hedge Funds) and the sellers (Retail Investors) called capitulation. That line in the sand was at $9000. Capitulation is when investors give up any previous gains, by selling, in an effort to get out of the market. Capitulations are outcomes that result from the maximum psychological and financial pain that can be endured by a group before throwing in the towel. The Retail Investors are throwing in the towel after seeing a more than 50% correction in the Bitcoin price to the buyers, the Hedge Funds. With 100s of millions of dollars to invest, we are witnessing an accumulation phase by the Hedge Funds between $6000 and $9000.

The Hedge Funds are loading up and buying from the Retail Investors. But to fill all their buy orders, as the sell orders dry up, price must go down to the next stack of sell orders. We are approaching what I believe will be the bottom of bitcoin at $6000. My first target is $12,000 and my second target is $17,000 over the next 3 - 9 months.

The easy money has been made over the last 12-18 months. With the big boys in the game now, the rules have changes. The question is, are you ready to play to win with a new play book?

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor. Do your own research before making investment decisions. By reading this post, you acknowledge and accept full responsibility of any gains or losses.

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really usefull & informative post dear friend...
@famunger

resteem done!

I should have taken a closer took at your updates and sold a bit. Instead now I need to buy more at 6500 to dollar average the fall ;-)

Keep 'em comin'!

very very bad situation, this is like war between goverment amd civilian.
The price going down, but I still optimistic if when new equilibrium build, crypto will rise again..

This post has resteem and voted

Very good overview. Thank you.

The bears are in full force but the bears are building strength. We'll be back

A great update as always @famunger, keep up the good work.

Thank you the summary. All the best analysts in one place. May you and your son have a great trip!

God grant you and your son a great trip

Enjoy your travels! Point out all the things that fit into Fibonacci, I know I would have benefited from knowing that at an earlier age! :)

And I really appreciate your efforts here as well!