Yeah but those coins that go up that far almost always come back down. I'd say the probability is 80% If you're not there and prepared to sell, you just end up where you started. The odds of a long term holder being on the spot are pretty low.
Most people don't have the time. I'm disabled I can't walk anymore so i have nothing but time. For most people I say "Just buy some bitcoin."
I'm not giving advice, I'm documenting my trades, and sharing some of my tools. I haven't recommended anything, or advised anything. I just post what I trade as I trade it, and my thinking. Sometimes a chart if I'm feeling generous.