Some pro-Palestinian folks on the left want to replace Biden as the Democratic Party president candidate.

in democrat •  3 months ago 

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One told me that it's easy. "Pick a replacement. Voila."

This person has probably not even tried to organize a charity car wash if they think it's that easy to coordinate action among a large group of people.

Here's the basics of trying to replace Biden with a more pro-Palestinian candidate.

The Democrats have already had their primaries and Biden won 3,900 of 3,949 total pledged delegates (there are also 739 in pledged automatic delegates, a.k.a. super delegates). It will require votes from about 1,968 delegates to win the nomination. These 3,900 delegates pledged to Biden are obligated by party rules to vote for Biden as the party's nominee.

Let's say they don't. And I mean as a first step you have to persuade about 1,900 pledged delegates to break their pledge along with persuading almost all the superdelegates not to support him.

How do you accomplish that?

They not only will have to he persuaded that his position on Israel is unacceptable, but that a pro-Palestinian replacement candidate will have a better chance of beating Trump.

That's a hard sell to long-time Democratic Party activists and politicians, which all the delegates are.

(Remember, even if a majority of these delegates are willing to pull the plot on Israel - possible, but not certain - most will know that most Americans still support Israel over Hamas, even as they grow concerned about the scale of violence, so these delegates will be worried that a pro-Palestinian cannot win.)

And this isn't just opinion polling, so that can't just be a hypothetical pro-Palestinian candidate. You have to get agreement among at least 1,968 delegates upon a particular replacement pro-Palestinian candidate who they think can beat Trump.

Try to name someone who is likely to easily get that kind of agreement. Not someone you'd like, but someone that a majority of delegates can believe can win.

I can't name such a person. And there is nobody in the Party who has the nationwide political organization needed to run a presidential election. It's not simply the Party that runs it, but the candidate's organization. And the delegates are politically experienced enough to know that.

Now there's an added problem. The Democratic convention, where this would be expected to happen, is scheduled after the Ohio deadline for putting candidates on the ballot. So the Democratic Party delegates are going to meet by phone before the convention to formally nominate their candidate.

How could they be brought to an agreement on as yet unnamed candidate before that late July/early August phone call?
Voila? More like abracada.

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