Here is an update on all the election forecasts.

in election •  last month 

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The Economist: Harris with a ~60% chance.

FiveThirtyEight: Harris with a 58% chance.

Nate Silver: Harris with a 58% chance.

Decision Desk: Harris with a 56% chance.

Split Ticket: Harris with a 57% chance.

JHK: Harris with a 54% chance.

Race to the White House: Harris with a 60% chance.

Models are pretty similar now and have Harris as the slight favorite.

election forecast update
last month by

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