FiveThirtyEight's election forecast is now back online with Harris in the race.

in harris •  2 months ago 

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They forecast she has a 58% chance of winning the election.

FiveThirtyEight believes Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona are toss-ups.

And believes Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's second district are lean Democrat. And Florida and Texas are lean Republican.

Pennsylvania is the most likely tipping point state.

Implied electoral college bias of 2.6.

The closest state is expected to be North Carolina followed by Georgia and Arizona.

They think there is a 25% that Harris wins by a landslide.

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