Since Nov 2021, the bond yield has been increasing. Now, the bond yield is around ATH(All Time High). It seems that it's on the top.
A few days ago, market participants anticipated the possibility of the Federal Funds Rate pause is 60%. Now, it increased. The Fed warned we will increase the interest rate one more this year. However, it looks like that market participants have confidence.. 🧐
Take a look at the yield inversion of 10y-3m.. it's been recovering. I'm worrided about the next recession. Cause, when the yield inversion started the recovery, recessions occured within some months.
Anyways, it seems that bonds and other markets participants have same thought about the interest rate pause. It's interesting 🤔 The next FOMC is scheduled to the 1st Nov. I'm looking forward to seeing bonds and other markets participants will win the prediction.
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