Lorenz estaba feliz con el hallazgo, pero ¿cómo podría demostrar esto? -se preguntaba -De acuerdo con las teorías deterministas: "Si se conocen las condiciones iniciales de un objeto, se podrá predecir con relativa facilidad su comportamiento en el futuro".

Sintió temor por su hallazgo, pues contradecía la teoría de Newton. Entonces pasó por su mente la idea de guardar silencio; pero a los pocos instantes esta desapareción: "En la ciencia, tarde o temprano todo se descubre", se dijo. De modo que si guardo silencio no pasaré a la historia, sino que seré un científico más -pensó.

Fue así como en el año 1963, Lorenz presentó su libro Efecto mariposa, en el cual llegó a la conclusión que:

En el universo existen sistemas dinámicos, que son conjuntos de sucesos cambiantes a través del tiempo. Eso aplica para los estados atmosféricos, para la bolsa de valores y para la conducta humana no existen las determinaciones, pues son sistemas dinámicos y nunca actuarán de la misma manera. Por tanto son "caóticos". Pero:

El hecho de que el caos haga parecer que las cosas se vuelven aleatorias, desordenadas o impredecibles, lo cierto es que el caos va creando patrones ordenados".

De allí que todo caos es un orden en potencia, y viceversa; todo orden es sensible al caos.

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Lorenz entered the laboratory with the mission of finding a mathematical formula that could predict the meteorological processes that had been occurring in the United States, and that had devastated counties and entire towns.

He turned on the computer and took a brown folder in his hands. Then he calmly entered into the computer all the data on temperature, humidity, pressure and wind direction that he had managed to record over the last ten years.

_Pixabay

I patiently waited for the results and, indeed, everything was ready in five hours: perfect graphs that allowed predicting natural events in the future. But, Lorenz was a demanding mathematician, who did not settle for anything. So before beginning his scientific analysis, he decided to re-enter the data to confirm the results. After five hours, Lorenz did not understand what had happened: the results were now minimally different from the first, but different nonetheless; Then, he began to transcribe each of the data more carefully; and it came back differently, then he realized that his computer had rounded the figures. That is, he had eliminated some decimals and therefore there were discrepancies in the results.

Lorenz stayed up all night; It was the first time this had happened to him. He decided to leave the problem for the next day. Tiredness was probably taking its toll on him. The clock showed four in the morning. At that time he took a shower, made a herbal infusion, did some breathing exercises and tried to sleep. But the dream did not appear; However, the results of his research did not leave his mind. He began to feel anguished, as if guilty of wasting his time; So he returned to the laboratory, checked the computer and came to the conclusion that:

The wind produced by the flapping of a butterfly's wings in Brazil can unleash a tornado in Texas.

_Pixabay

That was the premise to base his "Chaos Theory".

Lorenz was happy with the find, but how could he prove this? -he wondered -According to deterministic theories: "If the initial conditions of an object are known, its behavior in the future can be predicted with relative ease."

He was afraid of his discovery, since it contradicted Newton's theory. Then the thought of remaining silent crossed his mind; but after a few moments they disappeared: "In science, sooner or later everything is discovered," he said to himself. So if I remain silent I will not go down in history, but rather I will be just another scientist - he thought.

Thus, in 1963, Lorenz presented his book Butterfly Effect, in which he came to the conclusion that:

In the universe there are dynamic systems, which are sets of events that change over time. This applies to atmospheric states, to the stock market and to human behavior there are no determinations, since they are dynamic systems and will never act in the same way. Therefore they are "chaotic." But:

The fact that chaos makes it seem that things become random, disordered or unpredictable, the truth is that chaos creates ordered patterns."

Hence all chaos is a potential order, and vice versa; all order is sensitive to chaos.

End