At the end of the day it all boils down to cost-benefit analysis:
- The location and resources of Myanmar are important to China. Pipelines on Myanmar convey roughly 10% of Chinese imported oil. Myanmar also accounts for about 10% of global rare earth metals supply.
- Pro-democracy Burmese will be overwhelmingly pro-Western and anti-China.
Overthrowing the Myanmar junta will be overwhelmingly beneficial to the US, as a pro-US Burmese government will help blocking Commie China's expansion into Southeast Asian regions. But the cost of doing so may overweight the benefits, because:
- Commie China will try its best to stop US intervention in Myanmar as it directly impact China's interests.
- Democratic Myanmar may not stay loyal to the US (Aung San Suu Kyi participated in China's Belt and Road Initiative soon after she was elected President, karma's indeed a bitch).