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This chart shows the 14 day weather trend for Seoul (Seoul, South Korea) with daily weather symbols, minimum and maximum temperatures, precipitation amount and probability.
The deviance is coloured within the temperature graph. The stronger the ups and downs, the more uncertain the forecast will be. The thick line represents the most probable trend.
Variation in precipitation is represented as a „T“. These uncertainties usually increase with the number of forecasts days ahead.
The forecast is created with „ensemble“ models. Several model runs with varying start parameter are calculated to estimate the predictability of the forecast more precisely.