La BULL RUN nel mercato delle cripto valute non è eterna e non è di facile comprensione nemmeno per i guru del settore, perché è sempre imprevedibile.
Questa situazione genera la tanto famigerata FOMO, "fear of missing out", la paura di restare fuori, di perdere l'occasione di guadagno mentre il mercato è in fermento.
Ma la FOMO non deve mai guidare le nostre scelte, non dobbiamo lasciare che le emozioni possano influenzare le nostre scelte di investimento.
E in questo momento preciso del mercato, in cui Bitcoin non riesce a superare la soglia psicologica dei 51K dollari, come è capitato già il 23 agosto, forse è ancora presto parlare di FOMO.
In questo momento ci troviamo in una fase di incertezza in cui gli investitori sono scettici sulle performance di BTC, nessuno ha la sicurezza di dove possa andare il mercato delle crypto e nonostante nelle ultime settimane abbia superato i 2.38 trilioni di dollari, è palpabile l'incertezza degli investitori di fare nuovi ingressi ai livelli attuali.
Forse perché settembre è un mese in cui Bitcoin non ha mai brillato anzi analizzando i dati storici si nota che il prezzo di Bitcoin ha rendimenti mensili massimi leggermente superiori al 6%.
Eppure in questi primi giorni di Settembre il mercato delle criptovalute sta scambiando ai suoi massimi storici, come Solana, Cardano, Ethereum e la lista è lunga.
Allora cosa dobbiamo aspettarci nei prossimi giorni?
Io di certo la risposta non ce l'ho!
Però molti analisti di criptovalute sono positivi.
Uno che mi ha colpito maggiormente è Lark Davis che spiega di non avere fretta a fare profitti in questa fase perché secondo alcuni indicatori chiave non abbiamo ancora raggiunto il picco di euforia nel mercato.
Gli indicatori chiave a cui si riferisce sono: il moltiplicatore MA a 2 anni, il Puell Multiple e il grafico del BTC Rainbow log.
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Quindi i dati ci suggeriscono che il miglior momento di vendita è al di sopra della linea rossa.
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Anche questo strumento indica che i massimi guadagni sono stati ottenuti all'interno della casella rossa.
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Il grafico del BTC Rainbow log mostra come Bitcoin non sia ancora mai entrato nella zona rossa cioè in territorio di vendita, in questo ciclo di mercato.
Insomma osservando questi strumenti, sembrerebbe proprio che c'è ancora un ampio margine di crescita e Bitcoin può trovare la forza di superare le sue resistenze attuali e regalarci grandi soddisfazioni, trainando con se tutto il mercato delle criptovalute.
Lark Davis chiude il suo tweet spiegando che non dobbiamo raggiungere il massimo per vendere ma è necessario vendere ad un certo punto ed essere pronti a trarre profitto, insomma di avere a portata di mano un piano di fuga.
E questo credo sia il miglior consiglio di sempre.
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Spero di essere stata d'aiuto in questo momento particolare che richiede ancora sangue freddo e tanta pazienza.
Grazie per aver letto il mio post.
- ENG -
The BULL RUN in the cryptocurrency market is not eternal and is not easy to understand even for sector gurus, because it is always unpredictable.
This situation generates the much infamous FOMO, "fear of missing out", the fear of being left out, of missing the opportunity for profit while the market is in turmoil.
But FOMO should never drive our choices; we should not let emotions influence our investment choices.
And at this precise moment in the market, when Bitcoin fails to cross the psychological threshold of $51K, as happened already on August 23, maybe it's still early to talk about FOMO.
Right now we are in a phase of uncertainty where investors are skeptical about the performance of BTC, no one is sure where the crypto market will go and despite the fact that in recent weeks it has exceeded $2.38 trillion, the uncertainty of investors to make new entries at current levels is palpable.
Perhaps because September is a month in which Bitcoin has never shone indeed analyzing historical data shows that Bitcoin's price has maximum monthly returns slightly above 6%.
Yet in these early days of September the cryptocurrency market is trading at its all-time highs, such as Solana, Cardano, Ethereum and the list is long.
**So what should we expect in the coming days?
I certainly do not have the answer!
However, many cryptocurrency analysts are positive.
One that struck me the most is Lark Davis who explains that he is not in a hurry to make profits at this stage because according to some key indicators we have not yet reached the peak of euphoria in the market.
The key indicators he refers to are: the 2-year MA multiplier, the Puell Multiple and the BTC Rainbow log chart.
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So the data suggests to us that the best sales moment is above the red line.
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This tool also indicates that the maximum gains were obtained inside the red box.
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The BTC Rainbow log chart shows how Bitcoin has never yet entered the red zone i.e. sales territory, in this market cycle.
In short, observing these instruments, it would seem that there is still a large margin for growth and Bitcoin can find the strength to overcome its current resistance and give us great satisfaction, pulling with it the entire cryptocurrency market.
Lark Davis closes his tweet by explaining that we don't have to peak to sell but it is necessary to sell at a certain point and be ready to profit, in short to have an escape plan at hand.
And that I think is the best advice ever.
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I hope I've been helpful at this particular point that still requires cool heads and a lot of patience.
Thanks for reading my post.
With this post I am participating in Penny4Thoughts. Read more here.
I'm part of ITALYGAME Team
together with:
@girolamomarotta, @sardrt, @mad-runner, @ilnegro, @famigliacurione
I think that BTC and cryptocurrencies have always had these ups and downs, what happens is that some have not got used to it and their desperation makes them make the wrong decisions, they buy when they should sell and vice versa, patience is the key to this. subject, I will always say, I have CARDANO in my wallet for more than two years, imagine, patience and inform yourself without despair, is my opinion.
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Great advice, be patient. Unfortunately, not everyone is informed about what they buy and at the first difficulty they sell everything. It takes study and patience, of course then also a little good luck would help.. ;-D
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Really where it is going is somewhat uncertain, for this we have to have the nerves of steel and the pulse of a surgeon, to be able to make good decisions.
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Nerves of steel and for some crypto hands of diamond.. ;-)
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I think btc will control all aspects of our life very soon. BTC has enough power to do such.
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Hopefully it will check it out in a positive way though.. ;-)
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It is very hard to say about where we will be in next some years if we stay in touch of btc. The movement of btc is unpredictable.
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The movement of BTC is true, is unpredictable, but by now BTC is among us to stay and excel in the crypto market.
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Bitcoin is unstoppable now, bitcoin is in the moon now and i am watching the moon.
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True, it's unstoppable. From the moon next stop...to infinity and beyond.. ;-D
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BTC may reach at $60k again, but it's need at least 3 months to reach. This is the high price for this time.
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Hopefully all the altcoins will take off in the meantime.
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Altcoins will flex their muscles when cryptocurrencies become a daily means of payment ... and this day will come
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BTC has been hovering at the 50K level for long that it is beginning to get worrying. A new all time high seems imminent tho. It is just a matter of when.
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We are all waiting for BTC to start dragging the whole market with it again... but we are almost there.. ;-D
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I think it's time to sell btc because it may going to dump very soon.
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I don't know...I would hold off on selling.
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According to Coin Market Cap, cryptocurrency market is currently $2.38 trillion worldwide. I am hopeful that it will grow further in a positive way.
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Yes, lets hope the whole crypto market continues its growth.
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Thank you, information of interest. Greetings.
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Thanks for your comment. :-)
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I have some also and the market is so high, good day.
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Here's hoping for a long and prosperous bull run.
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Hello @mikitaly… I have chosen your post about “-Bitcoin .. ma a che punto siamo? / Bitcoin .. but where do we stand? [ITA / ENG] - ”for my daily initiative to retest - vote and comment...
Let's keep working and supporting each other to grow in Steemit.
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E con questo post io ti nomino Regina di STEEMIT! (Peccato che conto poco)...I tuoi argomenti sono sempre interessanti e scrivi i post i maniera impeccabile! Non conoscevo il grafico “Rainbow”... mio parere: il prezzo di Bitcoin salirà fino a 100.000, domani, oppure tra 2 anni. Peró non credo che divverrà una moneta di pagamento usata frequentemente, troppo lente le transazioni e troppo costose le stesse tasse di transazione.
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