Very good article Dave! Probabilities and statistics are indeed highly nonintuitive, i think that's part of the problem when it comes to communicating scientific data to the public.
The Monty Hall problem is another cool example that took me a while to wrap my head around:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
RE: The Birthday Paradox and Our Awful Human Intuitions When It Comes to Probabilities and Exponents
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The Birthday Paradox and Our Awful Human Intuitions When It Comes to Probabilities and Exponents
Thank you, Carl, I'm happy you think so! You are absolutely right about science communication.
The Monty Hall problem is a great example of that indeed and I was thinking about mentioning it in this post along a few coin toss example, but the post was already getting quite long and I decided I'll maybe write about them in the future.
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@carlgbush: ....uh... what? Which data? Ah, you mean: NUMBERS?
Well, totally lost on me ;-) I tried really hard all my life. But never came near any kind of enthusiastic feeling about crunching numbers. ...Wait, there was a day when I was practicing maths with my son and I looked up the Internet for Chinese calculating. That got me hooked for quite a while. But it was for 3d graders. LOL
All my teacher's fault - If @rocking-dave would have taught me, I guess, I would be now Superwoman. HaHa!
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