MOL Moore Chain Academy: It is undeniable that Mo Hailin, the founder of Moore Chain MOL, is a very good PR. He constantly promotes his knowledge sharing products in every speech: Moore Chain, Scythe APP. It is also undeniable that Qian Haitao is a very good evangelist who can clarify some blockchain nouns and slang terms with relatively common words and cases. Many people sneered at Qian Haitao's speech, but I think it is very valuable.
Today, I tried to use the "small trend" and "non-consensus" logic of Qian Haitao to talk about the blockchain industry.
First, small trend
First, it's small, so it's hard to detect. Second, it does not happen in the field I am familiar with. It is rolling through to me through a series of chain reactions.
As Qian Haitao mentioned, the dividends of the megatrends generally do not fall on the average person, and the investment institutions will take the lead in taking the core checkpoints of the megatrends and playing the game of winners. What is left to the amaranth is only the margins that these investment institutions are not paying attention to. However, these fringe areas are very important, I used to call him "marginal opportunities."
Marginal opportunities are easily overlooked and often exist in interactions with other industries, so to find “marginal opportunities” or “small trends”, cross-border thinking is very important.
In recent years, the entertainment star pop star "cross-border", there have also been many cross-border entertainment programs. Looking at these types of entertainment programs from a traditional point of view, it seems that they are not mainstream, but the truth is that they have produced enormous commercial value. Compared with some core value literature programs of CCTV, these “edge zones” programs seem to be incomprehensible, but their commercial value is often higher.
Because "edge opportunities" and "small trends" are too many and too frequent, many people mistakenly think that it is difficult to last long, and no authority has given positive comments at the beginning of it, and even more is doubt and ridicule. . Whether it is the entrepreneur himself or the investor, even if you sometimes catch some “marginal opportunities”, it will often be shaken by external reasons. Therefore, it is difficult to capture small trends, and it is even harder to insist on making small trends bigger. Many "marginal opportunities" or "small trends" will disappear under the ruthless blow of hats such as "pseudo-demand". And more people complain that "change is too fast," or regretfully shouted: "Oh, missed a big bonus."
The dividends of the small trend are appearing every day. To capture the dividend of the small trend, there are only three things to do: cross-border observation, immediate start, and persistence.
Combined with the blockchain industry, we will find that the blockchain is a big trend, but the real opportunity for ordinary people is the various "marginal opportunities" hidden under this megatrend.
Last year, many friends who made media and exhibitions made a lot of money. The best among these companies are the masters of blockchain technology and traditional industries.
Similar to the currency circle, the currency circle is actually the cross-border of the chain and the capital circle. Whether it is universal, distributed capital or numerous TokenFund, we will eventually find that the winners are cross-border masters and do not understand the district. Investors in blockchain technology will lose very badly. They only understand the blockchain technology, and the refusal of capital operation has basically disappeared.
There is also a chain change. The successful chain reform must be blockchain technology and cross-border of an industry. If you are familiar with the industry but don't understand the blockchain technology, you can't play the chain. You are familiar with the blockchain technology but don't understand the industry. The plan can not be reached.
Everyone knows that Bitcoin's transaction confirmation time is too long, for 1 hour. This long wait is anxious. Such a long time increases the uncertainty of the transaction; even in Ethereum, the transaction confirmation time needs 10 Minutes or so, compared to Bitcoin, it has been a leap forward. But it seems that this is not enough, everyone is still pursuing a faster way of trading.
If there is a new technology, the transaction confirmation time can be greatly shortened, the transaction time can be confirmed up to 50 milliseconds, and the transaction cost is also zero. Do you say that you will use it as a blockchain technology? The answer is no doubt.
The Moore Chain (MOL) is such a new technology.
Moore (MOL) uses a subversive directed acyclic graph (DAG) and blockless design to confirm transactions in as little as 50 milliseconds; its highly scalable concurrent unlimited performance and transaction-free fees Moore (million processing speed per second) naturally becomes the first choice for distributed economy, such as micropayment, lightning payment, high frequency payment, games, and community.
Second, the thinking of the person
We will find two kinds of people in real life:
One kind of person likes to talk about the big trend, and he has a big cult in the big trend, and they also like to point to the entrepreneurs who are struggling to explore the “marginal opportunities” or act as “ After the event, Zhuge Liang."
The other kind of person is immersed in the "marginal opportunity", trying to make the edge opportunity bigger, then getting the attention of the organization and giving it the mainstream resources, and finally making the edge opportunity into a big industry.
For the former kind of person, the most favorite thing to do is "to all" and "predict". For example, they often say that the situation in 2018 is too bad, and there is no hope in 2019. The latter person will say: 2018 is difficult? Which year is not difficult!
For the former kind of person, they often retreat when they encounter difficulties, and find a bad reason for the big form to make excuses for their weakness. The latter kind of people, they will think: Do you not work hard? will not. In the words of Roman Roland: "There is only one true heroism in the world, that is, to recognize the truth of life and still love it."
Therefore, I respect the people who still persist in the contrarian, no matter how he lives and does it, even if it is "squatting", it is also worthy of respect. This is a kind of adherence to faith, adherence to the initial heart, adherence to the small trend, and adherence to the edge opportunity, as long as it is adhered to, it will certainly gain something. This is an era when the left is king.
In the blockchain industry, there are also two people depicted above. There is one of the simplest ways to distinguish: by the end of 2019, people who are still in this industry, most of whom are people who do things.
Third, rational optimism
- Qian Haitao compares the opportunity to a shuttle bus and says: The bad news is that each bus stops at a short time and looks like the last bus. The good news is that there is really no last bus, and the car is a little bit more and more dense. In the logic of the small trend, there is no last bus.
2, "Where you can't kill me, it makes me stronger.", the attitude of the small trend believers: If I can't catch up, I will be prepared to wait for it in the future.
- Qian Haitao believes: "In China, there are at least one hundred million people who don't know about things that are well known. Most of the time, there are ten billion people who don't know." This sentence means doing in China. Everything has enough market space for you to ride.
4, Qian Haitao quoted Buffett's words: no one can rely on shorting their own country to succeed. Explain that it is not the right way to make money against the trend in the big environment. It is the right way to develop in sync with the big environment.
Qian Haitao believes that the smartest way is to be a rational optimist.
Fourth, non-consensus
“Non-consensus” refers to the process from being excluded to being recognized, from disengagement to rebuilding consensus.
At the moment when it was born, any innovation can easily be regarded as a "heretical heresy", then become a "great revolution" and finally revert to "normality."
It is very appropriate to use this process to describe the development of bitcoin and blockchain. The birth of Bitcoin was first regarded as a "heretical heresy" and was banned by the mainstream countries in the world. Later, with the concept of blockchain, it was regarded as a "great revolution" between 2017 and the first half of 2018; The price of the currency plummeted, returned to rationality, and reverted to "normality."
This process is the "non-consensus" process of blockchain technology. But this process is far from over. Because the concept of blockchain is to be established, it is a distributed consensus mechanism. This consensus mechanism will take a long time to be widely accepted.
Within the blockchain industry, there is also a broad “non-consensus”. For example, around 2014, the POW consensus mechanism was prevalent, and POS was regarded as a heresy. However, the value of POS was gradually accepted until it was regarded as a consensus to change the inefficiency and high energy consumption of POW, so that it became more radical. DPOS. Today, these consensus algorithms have become "unusual" things.
We are now guessing which technology or project will be ignited in the next round of bull market? Will there be another V god? In fact, it is enough to pay attention to the "non-consensus" within the industry.
The next key technological revolution will never appear in areas with broad consensus, she will only appear in a "non-consensus" way. She would be like a seed buried deep underground, struggling to penetrate thick soil and appear in front of people. Even if you are fortunate enough to be observed by some people, you will not be valued and will grow lonely. Then, with more and more attention, she began to incur all kinds of suspicions, discussions, and even as a heresy. Until that day, it suddenly became a towering tree, and it was so beautiful that it was worshipped, tribute, imitated, and deified by countless people.
V. Long-termism
Qian Haitao mentioned: As long as you can be strong enough to jump out of the trap of time setting and keep the target for a long time, you can become a friend of time. This pattern of behavior is called "long-termism." Only long-termists can become friends of time. Long-termism must not only insist on what you want to do, but also not interrupt what you are doing, but continue to be tempted. Once interrupted, the work is abandoned.
Qian Haitao repeatedly stressed that even if the signal of the small trend is weak, as long as it is recognized, long-termism can enlarge it.
Finally, I shared a paragraph from Mo Hailin’s founder, Qian Haitao: “I firmly believe that cryptocurrencies will change the world, replace the stock market, most currencies, and pay for machine-to-machine, Internet of Things, streaming media, and forecasting the market. Power, governance systems, voting systems, and even everything on the Internet. Having said that, cryptocurrencies still have a long way to go, and most of these areas are still at a very early stage."