How to predict recessions?

in money •  8 years ago 

When the amount of money contracts, it becomes difficult to pay interest on loans. Since we know either money comes from banks or government, looking at the flows of money we can predict the recessions.
Bank credit has been decreasing for past 2 quarters. It has not yet fallen below 0
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=dEAR

money
8 years ago by

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