This Is What Americans Spent The Most Money On In The First Quarter

in money •  7 years ago 

This Is What Americans Spent The Most Money On In The First Quarter

As noted earlier, it was a stronger than expected quarter for the US, in which US households reportedly spent far more than initially estimated, with Real Consumer Spending rising 1.1%, above the 0.6% expected, and contributing 0.75% to the bottom line annualized growth, or just over half the 1.4% GDP print. As Citi commented after the GDP data, "The market didn’t expect this much of a positive revision in the Q1 GDP print; in fact, it didn’t expect a revision at all. We zoom in on the personal consumption print, which has seen an uptick of 0.5% to 1.1%."

So, as we always do, we decided to take a look at what Americans spent the most money on in Q1, to find what the source of this unexpected spending splurge.

Here traditionally we expect healthcare (i.e., the Obamacare tax) to provide the bulk of the upside, but in Q1 we found only a modest contribution, with a spending increase of only $11.2 billion compared to Q4. Additionally, we found that in the quarter American spending actually declined on such staples as housing and utilities, clothing and footwear, gasoline (to be expected with dropping gas prices) and, perhaps the biggest surprise, motor vehicles and parts, which declined by a whopping $17.5 billion annualized: a bright red flag over the US auto industry.

So what jumped? Well, as was the case in the first GDP estimate, for some inexplicable reason, in the first quarter American consumer were scrambling to buy... recreational vehicles!?

Incidentally, this won't be the first time Americans splurged on RVs. The last time they did this? Exactly one year ago.

To be sure, the ongoing surge in RV purchases sure would explain why the housing recovery, overdue by about 5 years, still fails to materialize.

And another observation: if it wasn't for the inexplicable splure on RVs, GDP would have grown by one third less, or less than 1%.

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