This table shows an estimate for the amount of votes remaining to be counted in each state where the winner is not yet known, and the number of votes separating the current leading candidate from the second-placed party (the margin). Taken together the two things suggest how much scope there is for the positions to change in the final count.
State Votes left to count (est.) Current margin Current leader
% votes
Georgia 1% <50,000 1,536 Biden
Pennsylvania 2% <150,000 13,673 Biden
North Carolina 6% <350,000 76,701 Trump
Nevada 13% <200,000 20,137 Biden
Alaska 50% <200,000 54,610 Trump
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Why does it matter?
Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.
Pennsylvania
20 electoral college votes
Polls closed 3 days ago
Est. vote count 98%
Candidate Votes Percent
Joe Biden 3,311,780 49.5%
Donald Trump 3,298,107 49.3%
Jo Jorgensen 76,700 1.1%
Why does it matter?
Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.
North Carolina
15 electoral college votes
Polls closed 3 days ago
Est. vote count 94%
Candidate Votes Percent
Donald Trump 2,732,084 50.1%
Joe Biden 2,655,383 48.7%
Jo Jorgensen 47,215 0.9%
Why does it matter?
Historically Republican-leaning, North Carolina has become increasingly competitive in recent years. The state’s recent voting patterns mirror a national trend towards more polarisation, with cities swinging further towards the Democrats and rural areas towards the Republicans.