Why did Mike Pence tried to avoid North Korean delegation during Pyeongchang Olympic Games opening ceremony?
Every market is being operated by supply and demand. Even inside the politics this methodology works. I have read a post
on Facebook and trying to share this content why US and Japanese leaders were trying to avoid North Korean delegation yesterday.
I have been working as a broker in international trade business. I was trading coal as a brokerage business.
Let’s say coal price per ton has been $20 per ton. As a normal situation, the deal is being made between $19 and $21 if something special is not happening. In the event of supply problems, the provider must raise the price. Problems arise here. If a bargain is required, the bargaining power is more likely to draw closer to the supplier.
In such cases, the provider never makes an emotional negotiation. Because even though the deal isn't going to go through, the provider can still sell it to other customers.
On the other hand, the demand side have to be emotional when it comes to buying. It becomes to move forward emotionally rather than rationally negotiating. Even it makes buyer angrier situation, the demand side have no cards. The only supplier has one place.
That is what is happening between US-Japan ally and North Korea. South Korea is now positioning as a negotiator.
North Korea is positioning as a supplier. And USA and Japan is positioning as a buyer to make this peninsula as peaceful without nuclear weapons and ICBM.
North Korea can receive a huge amount of aid it could ask for in return for its nuclear dismantlement. The North Korean government has nothing to lose even the deal breaks up. Because North Korea will be rich or nuclear country.
South Korean government is now positioning as an arbitrator in the transaction. The arbitrator and the negotiator is now being committed to close the business deal for North Korea and USA-Japan.
Cannot believe this? Kim Young-Nam and Kim Yo-Jong(Sister of Kim Jung-un, North Korean leader) looked relaxed without fierce rhetoric to USA or Japan. Contrast to this Mike Pence, Vice President of USA, and Abe Shinzo, Prime Minister of Japan, have shown diplomatic rudeness and a fierce rhetoric.
Political leaders are ultimately the ones who have to win the election and various deals. Under these circumstances, we cannot afford to just denuclearization of North Korea.
Donald Trump should prepare another card to show off to the citizens to win re-election in a few years. It is same situation for Japanese leader and South Korean leader as well. The deal will be closed if it is the same case like coal trade upon the taste of supplier, North Korea in this case.
Of course, most of the aid to North Korea will be paid by South Korea and Japan. The Japanese government is emotional because of this situation. IF we look back to the case from Geneva agreement in 90s and the six party talks, it will be 99% true. Japan is positioning themselves as US pet country. So this will be true.
North Korea may be seen as a subordinate state to China, but some changes are also expected in China's relationship with North Korea due to recent U.N. sanctions. Kim Jung-un’s New Year message seems to be to use South Korea as a negotiator with the Olympic games.
Korean peninsula is still under the war. Millions of troops are facing each other on DMZ line.
North Korea will achieve an agreement to end the Korean War and establish diplomatic ties with North Korea. Trump for solving the North Korean nuclear issue, United States can remain as a great president. South Korea will gain 100 million Korean-based economies through inter-Korean peace.
Of course, Japan wants economic development through the second Korean War.
That is why they are unhappy at Pyeongchang, Japanese and US delegation.