Wat. This isn't accurate. I like Nate Cohn a lot, but I'm not sure why he's saying this. And the ABC/Post polling has been just as wacky and out of line of the other polling.
He's right that the Times/Siena polling performed really well in 2022, but it doesn't necessarily mean this poll is accurate (it doesn't mean it is inaccurate either, but that's why you aggregate the polls).
I don't put much stock in general election polling this early, but I don't know why it is odd to say this poll is out of line.
Nevada by 11 points? C'mon now.