Omicron peaks in some states..

in pandemic •  3 years ago 

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It's looking like cases may be peaking in some of the states that had early Omicron outbreaks. While previous peaks were in the 50-100 range (cases/100k/day), these peaks are in the 300-500 range.

Estimates are that number of people currently infected is about 35x our current positive test rate, or roughly 8% of the population.

If the cases are peaking in those states, we could expect roughly this pattern:

Cases peaking nationally around 1/17
Hospital admissions peaking around 1/24
Hospital load peaking around 1/31
US deaths peaking in early February.
Cases/admissions back to sane levels around the end of February.

Take all those dates with a huge grain of salt.

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