Great Pew piece on why you should be mindful of "bogus respondents" in opt-in polls.

in pew •  9 months ago 

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https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/05/online-opt-in-polls-can-produce-misleading-results-especially-for-young-people-and-hispanic-adults/

Several of the examples they cite from political violence to Holocaust denialism I saw a lot of friends share. As with most things polling related, if one poll sounds too good to be true it probably is.

Opt-in polling differs from probability-based polling in that the respondents sign up for the survey, rather than being randomly sampled from the population like a traditional poll. Opt-in polls often use financial rewards to get people to participate. Response bias is an issue with all polling, but with opt-in polling you get a self-selection that is even harder to assess and control for.

As they note, bogus respondents are typically overrepresented in young adult and Hispanic samples.

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