RE: I Bought Some More SmartCash

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I Bought Some More SmartCash

in smartcash •  7 years ago  (edited)

Hi @lukestokes, I have read your previous blog on Smartcash and I have visited the smartcash website and have read virtually everything I can there.

Here are my opinions:
It reminded me of Dash - same aims, same way of operating.

I could not find a White-paper. That may have answered some questions.

I don’t know if there is a huge overhang of coins. Your previuous post implied that there could be 55% in the hands of some whales, possibly the founders.

In the absence of a white-paper, I not could find the maximum issue size, nor the inflation rate. Unless I misunderstood something on the website, it looks like the monthly inflation rate is very high. Too high for me.

I understood that to particpate in rewards you need to hold for 30 or 60 days,and then you get a monthly reward based on the photograph as of the 25th. It was far from clear that the coin holder gets the bulk of reward. It looks like it mostly goes to someone else.

On coinmarket .com it shows 5 billion coins to be issued, but only 678’000’000. Coins in circulation. That looks like a big overhang.

As you pointed out, the volume traded is very small, and on an exotic exchange. I think I saw that only 8 bitcoins worth traded.

The number of people on the team looks small. They are looking to grow that.

In conclusion, I was left with un-answered questions.

I don’t think the website provides all the required information - at least not clearly. It wouldn’t be hard to do a better job. What worries me most is the lack of clear information. It gives me alot of suspicion that there are things they would rather not say.

If I make some concessions and assume that my mind could be put at rest for the large overhang, for the reward system, and the inflation rate, then I would start to focus on the potential upside.

As far as I can see, upside is dependent on wider adoption,which in turn depends on the marketing. I didn’t see anything that makes me think there is enough traction in the marketing yet. I am relatively unconvinced that their ambitions will be achieved. Maybe I would be a bigger believer, if I had spoken with them, like you have, or even better, looked them in the eyes.

Bottom line: speculation is so rife in the crypto -markets, that it would be easy to catch the small guys who don’t read. Therefore it could rocket on the smallest bit of publicity. There’s nothing wrong with playing the “greater fool game” but to play it, I would like to know why the fools would go for this coin as opposed to the 100s of others.

That’s my answer to the first question.

As for your second question, you have clearly studied this, done your due diligence, diversified, and reached a rational conclusion for your course of action. So, “No”, you are not crazy.

I reached a different conclusion than you, so I won’t be investing. I just think there are too many contenders, in the crypto-money space and its a real gamble, which one will win. They all pitch instant transactions, no/low cost, and some degree of anonimity so I won’t be investing,

Good luck with your investment anyway!

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The overhang is a decent concern(my initial concern too), however, as a developer who works part-time in the smartcash team for almost 2 months now, I personally prefer to invest my time and money in projects that are self-funded than projects that rely on donations. Let's not undermine the cost of servers, development, support, and promotion. Not only that, but also when you employ people through the blockchain and pay them in a specific cryptocurrency, which would be SMART in this case, you mostly end up hiring people who actually believe in the project and seek to do their best because they're not just working for you but they're also getting paid in a cryptocurrency that should do well otherwise their salary would become worthless. This is the best way to make sure the project remains well-funded and attracts employees that are passionate about the project.

Having said that, let's also not forget that SmartCash is not the only coin with a so-called overhang. Almost all cryptocurrencies are designed in a way that would be most benefitial to the founders and you can't really blame them. If you ever decided to start a business, would you be okay with making the amount of cash that your average employee would be earning? If yes, you'd be an exception! I know I personally wouldn't be okay and if I ever seek to start a new cryptocurrency myself, I too will make sure that I myself with any other co-founder would benefit the most compared to anyone else. This is just the way we all operate as human beings so let's be realistic and objective about it :]

Please don't take what I say as investment advice. I happen to believe in SmartCash and so I'm investing in it. I could be wrong and the project could fail. Do your own research and come to your own conclusion. I'm sure you do and there's probably no need for me to say this, but I just wanted to put this here as a disclaimer. All the best!

I absolutely love this point:

getting paid in a cryptocurrency that should do well otherwise their salary would become worthless.

That is a good motivator. I hope SmartCash doesn't get pumped and dumped by speculators which could harm the expectations of those involved. Slow and steady growth is a winning formula. Thanks again for building your bots. They definitely got me interested in this project.

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

You're welcome! I hope so too but let's be realistic... even succesful cryptocurrencies have had their share of pumps and dumps. On the one hand, I'm a bit worried about the recent surge in the price. I think it's too much which has happened in a very short period of time but on the other hand, this was somehow expected with the release of our webwallet which has made setting up a wallet super-easy. I would like to see a small pullback myself that would provide an opportunity for some of the more patient buyers as opposed to the aggressive ones who have caused this surge in just a few days. But no one really knows what's gonna happen. It could go a lot higher before a pullback because generally speaking it's still a bargain when you think about it long-term, if you believe in the project. But we'll just have to wait and see what happens I guess :P

Yeah, my purchase today was a bit much, but I decided if I was going to get in, I'd just go ahead and get in now and then be open about it. The web wallet is really nice and really makes getting into a cryptocurrency really easy.

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

I was aggressive too when I bought my first coins. I caused a huge 40% pump back then when the volume was much lower. I could have bought it at a lower price if I had waited but I was in hurry because I only had a few hours left before I could get in the second round of smart rewards and the first round which was 400% had me drunk. Didn't know the second round was going to be only 38%! Haha

@smartbot tip @swissclive 20

Excellent comment! I Googled around a bit on the white paper question and saw this:

We made a conscious decision not to try and be like everyone else and make up a white paper since most of the technology behind this coin revolves around Zerocoin.

from Steemit's own @decentralizd

I also have concerns about the large overhang, but when Bitcoin was introduced, there was a large overhang there as well. This is a fairly new coin (~3 months?) and I'm impressed with how much they've already accomplished. For me, it's all about distribution vs. adoption. If the adoption keeps up with distribution, it's all good. Some argue STEEM and BTS have the low prices they do because of too much distribution (inflation) and no stated maximum.

Time will tell, I guess, because it's a chicken/egg problem. For it to succeed it has to be distributed to more and more people. If someone an get 1000 SMART and earn SmartRewards for holding, that could lead to wider distribution for a low entry price.

I have the "speculation" tag on this post because, for me, at this point, this is more speculating than investing (and most of the cryptospace in speculation anyway).

I'm not a fan of the greater fool game and hope there's room for many cryptocurrency projects. One of my favorite videos on that topic involves thinking about currency as language:

As to me not being crazy... well, the jury's still out on that way. We'll see. :)

Thanks again for a great comment and for taking a closer look at this one.

Tipped @swissclive 20 SMART! Comment @smartbot help to claim. Currently the price of SmartCash in the market is $0.039 USD per SMART. To find out more about SmartCash, please visit https://smartcash.cc.

Dash only allows Masternode owners to vote; everyone who holds SmartCash is able to vote. There are many other very important differences but that one is huge.

It was just an impression that smartcoin was similar to dash. I am sure when I burrow down, there are lots more difference.

The video embedded above is recommended.